Athletic Club vs Getafe Prediction and Betting Tips | La Liga Gameweek 10
La Liga · Sunday 25 October 2026 · 13:00 UTC · San Mamés Barria, Bilbao · updated 2026-10-11
Athletic Club welcome Getafe to San Mamés Barria in Bilbao in La Liga Gameweek 10 action on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Athletic Club have played 6 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate. Getafe have played 8 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Athletic Club are narrow favourites at 54%, with the draw at 28% and Getafe at 18%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Athletic Club 1.47, Getafe 0.74.
- Over 2.5 goals: 38% · both teams to score: 41%.
- Most likely score: 1–0 (15%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 8 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Athletic Club: form and key numbers
In style Athletic Club keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.55 a match created, 1.29 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.3).
- Shots: 15.7 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 52.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.86.
Getafe: form and key numbers
In style Getafe are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.84 a match created, 1.48 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.8).
- Shots: 10.8 a match, 2.5 on target.
- Possession: 37.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 25% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.8 a match.
- Discipline: 3.4 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.67.
Athletic Club vs Getafe: season averages side by side
| Athletic Club | Per match this season | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 8 |
| 1.2 | Goals scored | 0.5 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 1.55 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.84 |
| 1.29 | xG conceded | 1.48 |
| 15.7 | Shots | 10.8 |
| 4.7 | On target | 2.5 |
| 52.5 | Possession % | 37.3 |
| 50% | Clean sheets % | 25% |
| 33% | Both teams scored % | 25% |
| 6.2 | Corners | 3.8 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 3.4 |
| 6.86 | Average rating | 6.67 |
Players to watch
Athletic Club
- Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 64 · Dribbler, Long passer (top 10% of his position)
- Unai Simón GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 61 · Long passer, Box defender (top 25% of his position)
Getafe
- David Soria GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 59 · Long passer, Box defender (top 1% of his position)
- Zaid Romero CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 48 · Reads the game, Long passer (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Yuri Berchiche
Yuri Berchiche, 36 · Athletic Club · LB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 67
Yuri Berchiche, 36, plays as a full-back for Athletic Club in La Liga. Strongest for his role in passes and pass accuracy. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average full-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 67
- RB · Full-back Accomplished, 63
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Passes | 66.70 / 90 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy | 92% | 96% |
| Key passes | 1.47 / 90 | 92% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.17 / 90 | 89% |
| Dribbled past | 0.49 / 90 | 67% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Inverted full-back Full-back
- ★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★½ Defensive full-back Full-back
Scout's notes: Ball circulator, Secure passer, Chance creator.
- What Yuri Berchiche is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Yuri Berchiche's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Athletic Club vs Getafe prediction
Athletic Club should have more of the ball, with Getafe likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Athletic Club work the ball wide and cross; Getafe go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.2 goals - 1.47 for Athletic Club and 0.74 for Getafe - with over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams scoring at 41%. Athletic Club have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Athletic Club 1-0 Getafe
Athletic Club vs Getafe betting tips
- Tip 1: Athletic Club win or draw (double chance) 82% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 62% by the model, 2.21 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: no 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 9.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More La Liga previews
- Real Betis vs Osasuna Sunday 11 October 2026
- Racing Santander vs Valencia Sunday 11 October 2026
- Levante vs Sevilla Monday 12 October 2026
- Levante vs Athletic Club Wednesday 21 October 2026
- Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga Friday 23 October 2026
- Rayo Vallecano vs Elche Saturday 24 October 2026
- Racing Santander vs Espanyol Saturday 24 October 2026
- Valencia vs Villarreal Saturday 24 October 2026
Athletic Club vs Getafe: questions and answers
When is Athletic Club vs Getafe?
Athletic Club vs Getafe is on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 13:00 UTC, in La Liga Gameweek 10.
Where is Athletic Club vs Getafe played?
At San Mamés Barria, Bilbao, Athletic Club's home ground.
Who will win Athletic Club vs Getafe?
Athletic Club are the favourites: Athletic Club 54%, draw 28%, Getafe 18%. Our prediction is Athletic Club 1-0 Getafe.
Who is the player to watch in Athletic Club vs Getafe?
Yuri Berchiche of Athletic Club: a inverted full-back with a Moneyball Score of 67 against every full-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club vs Getafe?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 38%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.