Levante vs Atletico Madrid Prediction and Betting Tips | La Liga Gameweek 11
La Liga · Saturday 31 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-26
Levante welcome Atletico Madrid to Estadio Ciudad de Valencia in Valencia in La Liga Gameweek 11 action on Saturday 31 October 2026.
Levante have played 10 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 20% of them. At home they average 3.3 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 100% win rate. Atletico Madrid have played 10 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 80% of them. Away from home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Atletico Madrid are narrow favourites at 58%, with the draw at 23% and Levante at 20%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.3% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Levante +1 at 1.85, Atletico Madrid at 2.05. The main goals line is 3: over 1.89, under 2.00, which gives over 51%.
Levante: form and key numbers
In style Levante are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.22 a match created, 2.05 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.8).
- Shots: 11.3 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 42.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 70% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Atletico Madrid: form and key numbers
In style Atletico Madrid keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.72 a match created, 1.10 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.8).
- Shots: 17.9 a match, 6.2 on target.
- Possession: 59.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (40% away).
- Both teams scored in 40% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.99.
Levante vs Atletico Madrid: season averages side by side
| Levante | Per match | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.72 |
| 2.05 | xG conceded | 1.10 |
| 1.60 | Goals | 2.00 |
| 11.3 | Shots | 17.9 |
| 4.3 | Shots on target | 6.2 |
| 1.3 | Big chances missed | 1.7 |
| 36.2 | Pressure share % | 69.4 |
| 18.2 | Tackles | 16.5 |
| 10.5 | Fouls | 12.1 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 10 and 10 measured matches.
Levante vs Atletico Madrid: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Levante have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of the last 2 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Levante 1, Atletico Madrid 3 - 2.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Levante 0-0 Atletico Madrid (January 31st 2026).
Head to head
In their last 2 meetings Levante won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Levante | 0 – 0 | Atletico Madrid |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Atletico Madrid | 3 – 1 | Levante |
Players to watch
Levante
- Mathew Ryan GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 59 · Secure passer, Long passer (top 32% of his position)
- Manu Sánchez LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 56 · Ball-winner, Duel winner (top 1% of his position)
Atletico Madrid
- Koke CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 72 · Ball circulator, Long passer (top 1% of his position)
- Morten Hjulmand DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 72 · Reads the game, Ball circulator (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Álex Baena
Álex Baena, 25 · Atlético de Madrid · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 68
Álex Baena, 25, plays as a winger for Atlético de Madrid in La Liga. Strongest for his role in key passes and expected assists (est.). Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 68
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 66
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 62
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 3.65 / 90 | 99% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.41 / 90 | 97% |
| Big chances created | 0.58 / 90 | 90% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.17 / 90 | 87% |
| Shots | 3.21 / 90 | 85% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★ Link-up forward Second striker
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Creator, Big-chance creator.
⚠ 5 goals from only 1.4 xG: finishing this far above his chances rarely lasts: check it is not a one-season wonder.
- What Álex Baena is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Álex Baena's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Levante vs Atletico Madrid prediction
Atletico Madrid should have more of the ball, with Levante likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Levante go long and direct; Atletico Madrid like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 1.16 for Levante and 1.95 for Atletico Madrid - with over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 60%. Atletico Madrid have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Levante 1-2 Atletico Madrid
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Levante vs Atletico Madrid betting tips
- Tip 1: Atletico Madrid to win 58% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 60% by the model, 3.12 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 60% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Levante vs Atletico Madrid in the Match Centre Follow it live
More La Liga previews
- Real Sociedad vs Levante Monday 26 October 2026
- Barcelona vs Real Madrid Monday 26 October 2026
- Sevilla vs Osasuna Tuesday 27 October 2026
- Villarreal vs RCD Espanyol Saturday 31 October 2026
- Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Saturday 31 October 2026
- Real Betis vs Malaga CF Sunday 1 November 2026
Levante vs Atletico Madrid: questions and answers
When is Levante vs Atletico Madrid?
Levante vs Atletico Madrid is on Saturday 31 October 2026, in La Liga Gameweek 11.
Where is Levante vs Atletico Madrid played?
At Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia, Levante's home ground.
Who will win Levante vs Atletico Madrid?
Atletico Madrid are the favourites: Levante 20%, draw 23%, Atletico Madrid 58%. Our prediction is Levante 1-2 Atletico Madrid.
Who is the player to watch in Levante vs Atletico Madrid?
Álex Baena of Atlético de Madrid: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 68 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Levante vs Atletico Madrid?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 60%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.