Levante vs Racing Santander Prediction and Stats | La Liga Gameweek 14
La Liga · Friday 27 November 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia · updated 2026-11-14
Levante welcome Racing Santander to Estadio Ciudad de Valencia in Valencia in La Liga Gameweek 14 action on Friday 27 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Levante have played 12 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 17% of them. At home they average 2.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded over 5 matches, with a 100% win rate. Racing Santander have played 12 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.5 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 3.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Levante are narrow favourites at 50%, with the draw at 22% and Racing Santander at 28%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Levante 2.12, Racing Santander 1.56.
- Over 2.5 goals: 71% · both teams to score: 70%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (6%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Levante: form and key numbers
In style Levante are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.21 a match created, 1.97 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.5).
- Shots: 11.6 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 42.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 58% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Racing Santander: form and key numbers
In style Racing Santander take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.38 a match created, 2.18 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.4).
- Shots: 12.9 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 50.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Levante vs Racing Santander: season averages side by side
| Levante | Per match this season | Racing Santander |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.8 | Goals conceded | 2.5 |
| 1.21 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.38 |
| 1.97 | xG conceded | 2.18 |
| 11.6 | Shots | 12.9 |
| 3.9 | On target | 4.8 |
| 42.8 | Possession % | 50.0 |
| 25% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 58% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 3.3 | Corners | 4.8 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 2.6 |
| 6.72 | Average rating | 6.72 |
Players to watch
Levante
- Mathew Ryan GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 66 · Shot-stopper, Secure passer (top 24% of his position)
- Manu Sánchez LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 54 · Ball-winner, Duel winner (top 1% of his position)
Racing Santander
- Andrés Martín RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 65 · Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume (top 2% of his position)
- Pablo Ramón CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 62 · Duel winner, Ball-winner (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Yassir Zabiri
Yassir Zabiri, 21 · Racing Santander · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 61
Yassir Zabiri, 21, plays as a centre-forward for Racing Santander in La Liga. Strongest for his role in goals, luck taken out and expected goals. Weakest in aerial duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 61
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 55
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.70 / 90 | 87% |
| Expected goals | 0.60 / 90 | 82% |
| Shots on target | 52% | 78% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 xG/shot | 78% |
| Big chances missed | 0.22 / 90 | 78% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring, Gets into scoring positions.
⚠ 9 goals from only 5.4 xG: finishing this far above his chances rarely lasts: check it is not a one-season wonder.
- What Yassir Zabiri is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Yassir Zabiri's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Levante vs Racing Santander prediction
Racing Santander should have more of the ball, with Levante likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Levante go long and direct; Racing Santander like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.7 goals - 2.12 for Levante and 1.56 for Racing Santander - with over 2.5 goals at 71% and both teams scoring at 70%. Levante have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Levante 3-1 Racing Santander
Levante vs Racing Santander: what the numbers say
- 1. Levante unbeaten (win or draw) 72% between them
- 2. 4 or more goals 50% by the model, 3.68 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 70% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.2 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 corners or fewer 8.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More La Liga previews
- Athletic Club vs Espanyol Friday 20 November 2026
- Deportivo Alavés vs Deportivo A Coruña Saturday 21 November 2026
- Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia Saturday 21 November 2026
- Sevilla vs Real Betis Saturday 21 November 2026
- Real Madrid vs Celta de Vigo Saturday 21 November 2026
- FC Barcelona vs Villarreal Sunday 22 November 2026
- Racing Santander vs Real Sociedad Sunday 22 November 2026
- Osasuna vs Málaga Sunday 22 November 2026
Levante vs Racing Santander: questions and answers
When is Levante vs Racing Santander?
Levante vs Racing Santander is on Friday 27 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in La Liga Gameweek 14.
Where is Levante vs Racing Santander played?
At Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia, Levante's home ground.
Who will win Levante vs Racing Santander?
Levante are the favourites: Levante 50%, draw 22%, Racing Santander 28%. Our prediction is Levante 3-1 Racing Santander.
Who is the player to watch in Levante vs Racing Santander?
Yassir Zabiri of Racing Santander: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 61 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Levante vs Racing Santander?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 71%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.