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Real Betis vs Porto: Prediction, Odds and Preview

Real Betis host Porto in the UEFA Champions League on Thursday 15 October 2026. The bookmakers make Real Betis narrow favourites at 45%, with the draw at 26% and Porto at 28%, once the margin is taken out.

The odds

Real Betis2.0145%
Draw3.4326%
Porto3.1928%

Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.3% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Real Betis -0.25 at 1.83, Porto at 2.05. The main goals line is 2.75: over 1.90, under 1.96, which gives over 51%.

Form in numbers

Real BetisPer matchPorto
1.60Expected goals (xG)0.30
1.64xG conceded–
1.29Goals0.00
17.4Shots5.0
6.4Shots on target0.0
1.9Big chances missed–
54.7Pressure share %–
19.9Tackles20.0
9.7Fouls7.0
1.4Yellow cards1.0

Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 7 and 1 measured matches.

Moneyball's pick

The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.