VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction and Stats | Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Bundesliga · Saturday 28 November 2026 · 17:30 UTC · MHPArena, Stuttgart · updated 2026-11-14
VfB Stuttgart welcome Eintracht Frankfurt to MHPArena in Stuttgart in Bundesliga Gameweek 11 action on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
VfB Stuttgart have played 9 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 44% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate. Eintracht Frankfurt have played 9 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.2 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 1.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, VfB Stuttgart are narrow favourites at 53%, with the draw at 21% and Eintracht Frankfurt at 26%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: VfB Stuttgart 2.29, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.59.
- Over 2.5 goals: 74% · both teams to score: 72%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
VfB Stuttgart: form and key numbers
In style VfB Stuttgart keep the ball, cross a lot, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.93 a match created, 1.99 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.4).
- Shots: 16.2 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 52.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.91.
Eintracht Frankfurt: form and key numbers
In style Eintracht Frankfurt play long and direct, are strong in the air, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.67 a match created, 2.12 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.0).
- Shots: 14.1 a match, 5.7 on target.
- Possession: 49.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 11% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.83.
VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt: season averages side by side
| VfB Stuttgart | Per match this season | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 9 |
| 1.7 | Goals scored | 1.7 |
| 1.7 | Goals conceded | 2.2 |
| 1.93 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.67 |
| 1.99 | xG conceded | 2.12 |
| 16.2 | Shots | 14.1 |
| 5.8 | On target | 5.7 |
| 52.9 | Possession % | 49.9 |
| 22% | Clean sheets % | 11% |
| 56% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 5.9 | Corners | 5.0 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 6.91 | Average rating | 6.83 |
Players to watch
VfB Stuttgart
- Jeff Chabot CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 77 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 1% of his position)
- Ermedin Demirovic CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 73 · Accurate shooter, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring (top 4% of his position)
Eintracht Frankfurt
- Younes Ebnoutalib CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 69 · Takes high-quality shots, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring (top 6% of his position)
- Lilian Brassier CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 69 · Reads the game, Hard to dribble past (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Maximilian Mittelstädt
Maximilian Mittelstädt, 29 · VfB Stuttgart · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 80
Maximilian Mittelstädt, 29, plays as a wing-back for VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in interceptions and tackles. Weakest in expected goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 80
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 80
- LM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 76
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Interceptions | 2.24 / 90 | 100% |
| Tackles | 3.22 / 90 | 98% |
| Duels won | 7.56 / 90 | 97% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.39 / 90 | 95% |
| Accurate crosses | 2.24 / 90 | 94% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Defensive full-back Full-back
- ★★★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Reads the game, Ball-winner, Duel winner.
- What Maximilian Mittelstädt is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Maximilian Mittelstädt's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction
VfB Stuttgart should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.9 goals - 2.29 for VfB Stuttgart and 1.59 for Eintracht Frankfurt - with over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams scoring at 72%. VfB Stuttgart have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: VfB Stuttgart 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt
VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt: what the numbers say
- 1. VfB Stuttgart unbeaten (win or draw) 74% between them
- 2. 4 or more goals 54% by the model, 3.89 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 72% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.6 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 10.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt: questions and answers
When is VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt is on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC, in Bundesliga Gameweek 11.
Where is VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt played?
At MHPArena, Stuttgart, VfB Stuttgart's home ground.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
VfB Stuttgart are the favourites: VfB Stuttgart 53%, draw 21%, Eintracht Frankfurt 26%. Our prediction is VfB Stuttgart 3-1 Eintracht Frankfurt.
Who is the player to watch in VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Maximilian Mittelstädt of VfB Stuttgart: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 80 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 74%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.