Werder Bremen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction and Stats | Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Bundesliga · Friday 27 November 2026 · 19:30 UTC · Wohninvest Weserstadion, Bremen · updated 2026-11-14
Werder Bremen welcome Borussia Mönchengladbach to Wohninvest Weserstadion in Bremen in Bundesliga Gameweek 11 action on Friday 27 November 2026, kick-off 19:30 UTC.
Werder Bremen have played 9 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.9 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 44% of them. At home they average 2.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 75% win rate. Borussia Mönchengladbach have played 9 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.8 goals a game and winning 11% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 100% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Werder Bremen are clear favourites at 63%, with the draw at 19% and Borussia Mönchengladbach at 18%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Werder Bremen 2.56, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.34.
- Over 2.5 goals: 75% · both teams to score: 68%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Werder Bremen: form and key numbers
In style Werder Bremen are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.63 a match created, 1.50 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.3).
- Shots: 15.7 a match, 6.4 on target.
- Possession: 47.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 11% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 78% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.96.
Borussia Mönchengladbach: form and key numbers
In style Borussia Mönchengladbach are happy without the ball, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.65 a match created, 2.34 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.9).
- Shots: 15.3 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 44.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 11% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.9 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.64.
Werder Bremen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: season averages side by side
| Werder Bremen | Per match this season | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 9 |
| 1.9 | Goals scored | 1.3 |
| 1.7 | Goals conceded | 2.8 |
| 1.63 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.65 |
| 1.50 | xG conceded | 2.34 |
| 15.7 | Shots | 15.3 |
| 6.4 | On target | 4.8 |
| 47.6 | Possession % | 44.6 |
| 11% | Clean sheets % | 11% |
| 78% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 4.4 | Corners | 5.3 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 2.9 |
| 6.96 | Average rating | 6.64 |
Players to watch
Werder Bremen
- Youri Regeer DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 71 · Ball-winner, Blocks shots (top 14% of his position)
- Amos Pieper CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 66 · Disciplined, Ball-winner (top 1% of his position)
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Shuto Machino CF · Complete forward · Moneyball Score 57 · Rarely wastes a big chance, Dominant in the air (top 14% of his position)
- Florian Neuhaus CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 51 · Chance creator, Press-resistant (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Niclas Füllkrug
Niclas Füllkrug, 33 · Werder Bremen · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 81
Niclas Füllkrug, 33, plays as a centre-forward for Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in shots on target and aerial duels won. Weakest in big chances missed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 81
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 73
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots on target | 61% | 95% |
| Aerial duels won | 3.86 / 90 | 92% |
| Shots | 3.98 / 90 | 89% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.73 / 90 | 87% |
| Expected goals | 0.63 / 90 | 84% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★½ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★½ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Accurate shooter, Dominant in the air, High shot volume.
⚠ 9 goals from only 5.2 xG: finishing this far above his chances rarely lasts: check it is not a one-season wonder.
- What Niclas Füllkrug is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Niclas Füllkrug's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Werder Bremen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction
Werder Bremen should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.9 goals - 2.56 for Werder Bremen and 1.34 for Borussia Mönchengladbach - with over 2.5 goals at 75% and both teams scoring at 68%. Werder Bremen have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Werder Bremen 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach
Werder Bremen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: what the numbers say
- 1. Werder Bremen win, the likeliest result 63% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 4 or more goals 55% by the model, 3.89 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 68% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.5 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 9.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Werder Bremen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: questions and answers
When is Werder Bremen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Werder Bremen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is on Friday 27 November 2026, kick-off 19:30 UTC, in Bundesliga Gameweek 11.
Where is Werder Bremen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
At Wohninvest Weserstadion, Bremen, Werder Bremen's home ground.
Who will win Werder Bremen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Werder Bremen are the favourites: Werder Bremen 63%, draw 19%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 18%. Our prediction is Werder Bremen 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Who is the player to watch in Werder Bremen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Niclas Füllkrug of Werder Bremen: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 81 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Werder Bremen vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 75%.
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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.