Antwerp vs Lommel SK Prediction and Betting Tips | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 11
Belgian Pro League · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Bosuilstadion, Deurne · updated 2026-10-25
Antwerp welcome Lommel SK to Bosuilstadion in Deurne in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 11 action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Antwerp have played 9 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.2 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 5 matches, with a 67% win rate. Lommel SK have played 9 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 5 matches, with a 67% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Antwerp 40%, the draw 25%, Lommel SK 35%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Antwerp 1.67, Lommel SK 1.54.
- Over 2.5 goals: 62% · both teams to score: 64%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Antwerp: form and key numbers
In style Antwerp play long and direct, cross a lot, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.37 a match created, 2.35 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.7).
- Shots: 14.1 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 47.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 56% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Lommel SK: form and key numbers
In style Lommel SK play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.10 a match created, 1.85 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.1).
- Shots: 11.1 a match, 3.3 on target.
- Possession: 46.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
Antwerp vs Lommel SK: season averages side by side
| Antwerp | Per match this season | Lommel SK |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 9 |
| 1.7 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 2.2 | Goals conceded | 1.2 |
| 1.37 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.10 |
| 2.35 | xG conceded | 1.85 |
| 14.1 | Shots | 11.1 |
| 5.0 | On target | 3.3 |
| 47.6 | Possession % | 46.2 |
| 22% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 56% | Both teams scored % | 33% |
| 4.8 | Corners | 3.9 |
| 2.0 | Yellow cards | 1.1 |
| 6.79 | Average rating | 6.88 |
Players to watch
Antwerp
- Snayder Porozo CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 60 · Rarely wastes a big chance, Takes high-quality shots (top 18% of his position)
- Taishi Brandon Nozawa GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 58 · Dominant in the air, Shot-stopper (top 14% of his position)
Lommel SK
- Matthias Pieklak GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 59 · Secure passer, Box defender (top 34% of his position)
- Shawn Adewoye CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 56 · Reads the game, Ball-winner (top 5% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Michael Frey
Michael Frey, 32 · Antwerp · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 58
Michael Frey, 32, plays as a centre-forward for Antwerp in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and shot quality (xG per shot). Weakest in shots. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 58
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 50
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 5.29 / 90 | 95% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.22 xG/shot | 92% |
| Duels won | 8.00 / 90 | 85% |
| Expected goals | 0.55 / 90 | 60% |
| Shots on target | 44% | 56% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air, Takes high-quality shots, Duel winner.
- What Michael Frey is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Michael Frey's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Antwerp vs Lommel SK prediction
Antwerp should have more of the ball; Antwerp are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Lommel SK like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals - 1.67 for Antwerp and 1.54 for Lommel SK - with over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 64%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Antwerp 1-1 Lommel SK
Antwerp vs Lommel SK betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 40%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 62% by the model, 3.21 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 64% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.1 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 8.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Belgian Pro League previews
- Club Brugge vs Sint-Truiden Sunday 25 October 2026
- Gent vs Anderlecht Sunday 25 October 2026
- Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge Sunday 25 October 2026
- Zulte-Waregem vs Club Brugge Friday 30 October 2026
- Mechelen vs Genk Saturday 31 October 2026
- Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk Saturday 31 October 2026
- SK Beveren vs Union Saint-Gilloise Saturday 31 October 2026
- Anderlecht vs Westerlo Saturday 31 October 2026
Antwerp vs Lommel SK: questions and answers
When is Antwerp vs Lommel SK?
Antwerp vs Lommel SK is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 11.
Where is Antwerp vs Lommel SK played?
At Bosuilstadion, Deurne, Antwerp's home ground.
Who will win Antwerp vs Lommel SK?
It is close: Antwerp 40%, draw 25%, Lommel SK 35%. Our prediction is Antwerp 1-1 Lommel SK.
Who is the player to watch in Antwerp vs Lommel SK?
Michael Frey of Antwerp: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 58 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Antwerp vs Lommel SK?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.