Gent vs Anderlecht Prediction and Betting Tips | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 9
Belgian Pro League · Sunday 25 October 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Planet Group Arena, Gent · updated 2026-10-25
Gent welcome Anderlecht to Planet Group Arena in Gent in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 9 action on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Gent have played 8 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.9 and conceding 0.5 goals a game and winning 88% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 57% win rate. Anderlecht have played 8 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 63% of them. Away from home they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 40% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Gent are narrow favourites at 45%, with the draw at 31% and Anderlecht at 24%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Gent 1.24, Anderlecht 0.84.
- Over 2.5 goals: 34% · both teams to score: 41%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (8 and 8 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Gent: form and key numbers
In style Gent play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.50 a match created, 0.88 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.0).
- Shots: 12.5 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 46.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.96.
Anderlecht: form and key numbers
In style Anderlecht keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.70 a match created, 0.90 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.6).
- Shots: 15.9 a match, 5.1 on target.
- Possession: 61.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (25% away).
- Both teams scored in 25% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.91.
Gent vs Anderlecht: season averages side by side
| Gent | Per match this season | Anderlecht |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matches | 8 |
| 1.9 | Goals scored | 1.1 |
| 0.5 | Goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 1.50 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.70 |
| 0.88 | xG conceded | 0.90 |
| 12.5 | Shots | 15.9 |
| 5.3 | On target | 5.1 |
| 46.8 | Possession % | 61.5 |
| 50% | Clean sheets % | 50% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 25% |
| 4.5 | Corners | 6.8 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
| 6.96 | Average rating | 6.91 |
Players to watch
Gent
- Tibe De Vlieger CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 57 · Ball-winner, Press-resistant (top 11% of his position)
- José Mendieta CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 53 · Dominant in the air, Takes high-quality shots (top 15% of his position)
Anderlecht
- Lukáš Ambros AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 54 · Dribbler, Press-resistant (top 10% of his position)
- Giulian Biancone CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 54 · Duel winner, Long passer (top 3% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Mathias Delorge
Mathias Delorge, 22 · Gent · CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 65
Mathias Delorge, 22, plays as a central midfielder for Gent in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in long balls and interceptions. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 65
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 60
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Long balls | 7.18 / 90 | 99% |
| Interceptions | 2.46 / 90 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 78% |
| Key passes | 1.89 / 90 | 74% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.18 / 90 | 64% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
- ★★★½ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ★★★½ Playmaker Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Long passer, Reads the game.
- What Mathias Delorge is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Mathias Delorge's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Gent vs Anderlecht prediction
Anderlecht should have more of the ball, with Gent likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.1 goals - 1.24 for Gent and 0.84 for Anderlecht - with over 2.5 goals at 34% and both teams scoring at 41%. Gent have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Gent 2-0 Anderlecht
Gent vs Anderlecht betting tips
- Tip 1: Gent win or draw (double chance) 76% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 66% by the model, 2.08 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: no 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.6 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Belgian Pro League previews
- Club Brugge vs Sint-Truiden Sunday 25 October 2026
- Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge Sunday 25 October 2026
- Zulte-Waregem vs Club Brugge Friday 30 October 2026
- Mechelen vs Genk Saturday 31 October 2026
- Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk Saturday 31 October 2026
- SK Beveren vs Union Saint-Gilloise Saturday 31 October 2026
- Anderlecht vs Westerlo Saturday 31 October 2026
- Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp Sunday 1 November 2026
Gent vs Anderlecht: questions and answers
When is Gent vs Anderlecht?
Gent vs Anderlecht is on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 9.
Where is Gent vs Anderlecht played?
At Planet Group Arena, Gent, Gent's home ground.
Who will win Gent vs Anderlecht?
Gent are the favourites: Gent 45%, draw 31%, Anderlecht 24%. Our prediction is Gent 2-0 Anderlecht.
Who is the player to watch in Gent vs Anderlecht?
Mathias Delorge of Gent: a ball-winning midfielder with a Moneyball Score of 65 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Gent vs Anderlecht?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 34%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.