Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk Prediction and Betting Tips | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10
Belgian Pro League · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 17:15 UTC · Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Liege · updated 2026-10-25
Standard Liège welcome KV Kortrijk to Stade Maurice Dufrasne in Liege in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10 action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 17:15 UTC.
Standard Liège have played 9 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 67% win rate. KV Kortrijk have played 8 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 0.3 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 13% of them. Away from home they average 0.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Standard Liège are clear favourites at 67%, with the draw at 20% and KV Kortrijk at 13%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Standard Liège 2.19, KV Kortrijk 0.88.
- Over 2.5 goals: 59% · both teams to score: 53%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 8 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Standard Liège: form and key numbers
In style Standard Liège press high, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.75 a match created, 1.59 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.8).
- Shots: 12.9 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 50.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.84.
KV Kortrijk: form and key numbers
In style KV Kortrijk are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.02 a match created, 1.91 conceded (goals minus xG: -6.2).
- Shots: 11.0 a match, 2.6 on target.
- Possession: 45.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 13% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.62.
Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk: season averages side by side
| Standard Liège | Per match this season | KV Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 8 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 0.3 |
| 1.7 | Goals conceded | 2.3 |
| 1.75 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.02 |
| 1.59 | xG conceded | 1.91 |
| 12.9 | Shots | 11.0 |
| 4.7 | On target | 2.6 |
| 50.1 | Possession % | 45.4 |
| 22% | Clean sheets % | 13% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 13% |
| 5.7 | Corners | 3.5 |
| 1.2 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
| 6.84 | Average rating | 6.62 |
Players to watch
Standard Liège
- Ibrahim Karamoko CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 51 · Dominant in the air, Box defender (top 23% of his position)
- Adnane Abid RWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 50 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 7% of his position)
KV Kortrijk
- Brecht Dejaegere CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 49 · Creator, Ball-winner (top 10% of his position)
- Axel Drouhin CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 49 · Disciplined, Reads the game (top 14% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Dennis Eckert Ayensa
Dennis Eckert Ayensa, 29 · Standard Liège · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 53
Dennis Eckert Ayensa, 29, plays as a centre-forward for Standard Liège in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and shots on target. Weakest in shots. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 53
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 48
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 42
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 xG/shot | 86% |
| Shots on target | 56% | 82% |
| Big chances missed | 0.29 / 90 | 66% |
| Aerial duels won | 2.74 / 90 | 65% |
| Expected goals | 0.53 / 90 | 57% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Shadow striker Attacking midfielder
- ★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★½ Target man Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter.
- What Dennis Eckert Ayensa is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Dennis Eckert Ayensa's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk prediction
Standard Liège should have more of the ball, with KV Kortrijk likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Standard Liège are a threat in the air and from set pieces; KV Kortrijk go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals - 2.19 for Standard Liège and 0.88 for KV Kortrijk - with over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 53%. Standard Liège have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Standard Liège 2-1 KV Kortrijk
Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk betting tips
- Tip 1: Standard Liège to win 67% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 59% by the model, 3.07 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 8.1 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 9.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Belgian Pro League previews
- Club Brugge vs Sint-Truiden Sunday 25 October 2026
- Gent vs Anderlecht Sunday 25 October 2026
- Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge Sunday 25 October 2026
- Zulte-Waregem vs Club Brugge Friday 30 October 2026
- Mechelen vs Genk Saturday 31 October 2026
- SK Beveren vs Union Saint-Gilloise Saturday 31 October 2026
- Anderlecht vs Westerlo Saturday 31 October 2026
- Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp Sunday 1 November 2026
Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk: questions and answers
When is Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk?
Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 17:15 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10.
Where is Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk played?
At Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Liege, Standard Liège's home ground.
Who will win Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk?
Standard Liège are the favourites: Standard Liège 67%, draw 20%, KV Kortrijk 13%. Our prediction is Standard Liège 2-1 KV Kortrijk.
Who is the player to watch in Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk?
Dennis Eckert Ayensa of Standard Liège: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 53 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.