Austria vs Republic of Ireland Prediction and Stats

UEFA Nations League B · Sunday 15 November 2026 · updated 2026-11-13

Austria welcome Republic of Ireland in UEFA Nations League B action on Sunday 15 November 2026.

Austria have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average. Republic of Ireland have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average.

On the pre-match consensus, Austria are narrow favourites at 56%, with the draw at 25% and Republic of Ireland at 19%.

Win probabilities

Austria56%home win

Draw25%draw

Republic of Ireland19%away win

The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.5 goals: 53%.

Austria vs Republic of Ireland: season averages side by side

Austria	Per match	Republic of Ireland
1.97	Expected goals (xG)	1.84
1.15	xG conceded	1.67
2.08	Goals	1.82
11.9	Shots	11.3
16.6	Tackles	11.3
12.9	Fouls	12.0
1.4	Yellow cards	1.4

Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 34 and 14 measured matches.

Austria vs Republic of Ireland prediction

Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.49 for Austria and 1.23 for Republic of Ireland - with over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 55%. Austria have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.

Prediction: Austria 2-1 Republic of Ireland

Austria vs Republic of Ireland: what the numbers say

1. Austria win, the likeliest result 56% on the pre-match consensus
2. 2 or more goals 2.71 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (51%)
3. Both teams to score: yes 55% by the model

Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.

Moneyball's reading

The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.

Follow Austria vs Republic of Ireland live

More UEFA Nations League B previews

Scotland vs North Macedonia Saturday 14 November 2026
Slovenia vs Switzerland Saturday 14 November 2026
Kosovo vs Israel Saturday 14 November 2026
Georgia vs Hungary Sunday 15 November 2026
Romania vs Poland Sunday 15 November 2026
Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Sunday 15 November 2026

Austria vs Republic of Ireland: questions and answers

When is Austria vs Republic of Ireland?

Austria vs Republic of Ireland is on Sunday 15 November 2026, in UEFA Nations League B.

Who will win Austria vs Republic of Ireland?

Austria are the favourites: Austria 56%, draw 25%, Republic of Ireland 19%. Our prediction is Austria 2-1 Republic of Ireland.

How many goals will there be in Austria vs Republic of Ireland?

Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.