Georgia vs Hungary Prediction and Stats
UEFA Nations League B · Sunday 15 November 2026 · updated 2026-11-13
Georgia welcome Hungary in UEFA Nations League B action on Sunday 15 November 2026.
Georgia have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average. Hungary have little league football behind them yet this season, so their numbers lean on the league average.
On the pre-match consensus, there is little to separate them: Georgia 38%, the draw 30%, Hungary 32%.
Win probabilities
The pre-match consensus: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. More than 2.25 goals: 49%.
Georgia vs Hungary: season averages side by side
| Georgia | Per match | Hungary |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.53 |
| 1.68 | xG conceded | 1.73 |
| 1.91 | Goals | 1.50 |
| 10.7 | Shots | 12.6 |
| 13.1 | Tackles | 14.5 |
| 9.9 | Fouls | 11.9 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 24 and 24 measured matches.
Georgia vs Hungary prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals - 1.49 for Georgia and 1.23 for Hungary - with over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 55%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Georgia 1-1 Hungary
Georgia vs Hungary: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 38%
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.71 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (51%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 55% by the model
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
Moneyball's reading
The Dixon-Coles and xG model reads every match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, the most likely scores and the goals probabilities. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
More UEFA Nations League B previews
- Scotland vs North Macedonia Saturday 14 November 2026
- Slovenia vs Switzerland Saturday 14 November 2026
- Kosovo vs Israel Saturday 14 November 2026
- Romania vs Poland Sunday 15 November 2026
- Sweden vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Sunday 15 November 2026
- Austria vs Republic of Ireland Sunday 15 November 2026
Georgia vs Hungary: questions and answers
When is Georgia vs Hungary?
Georgia vs Hungary is on Sunday 15 November 2026, in UEFA Nations League B.
Who will win Georgia vs Hungary?
It is close: Georgia 38%, draw 30%, Hungary 32%. Our prediction is Georgia 1-1 Hungary.
How many goals will there be in Georgia vs Hungary?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.7 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.