Barcelona vs Getafe: Prediction, Odds and Preview
La Liga · Sunday 11 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-07
Barcelona host Getafe in the La Liga on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bookmakers make Barcelona clear favourites at 86%, with the draw at 9% and Getafe at 4%, once the margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.4% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Barcelona -3 at 1.83, Getafe at 2.07. The main goals line is 4: over 1.89, under 2.00, which gives over 51%.
Form in numbers
- Barcelona create more: 3.68 expected goals a match against 0.92 for Getafe.
- Barcelona give away less, 0.99 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Barcelona 21.4 (8.3 on target), Getafe 11.7 (2.7 on target).
- Share of the pressure in their matches (Sportmonks Pressure Index): Barcelona 81.1%, Getafe 47.1%.
| Barcelona | Per match | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| 3.68 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.92 |
| 0.99 | xG conceded | 1.37 |
| 4.43 | Goals | 0.57 |
| 21.4 | Shots | 11.7 |
| 8.3 | Shots on target | 2.7 |
| 4.0 | Big chances missed | 0.6 |
| 81.1 | Pressure share % | 47.1 |
| 16.3 | Tackles | 12.7 |
| 9.6 | Fouls | 14.7 |
| 1.1 | Yellow cards | 3.3 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 7 and 7 measured matches.
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Barcelona won 3, drew 1 and lost 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | Getafe | 0 – 2 | Barcelona |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Barcelona | 3 – 0 | Getafe |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Getafe | 1 – 1 | Barcelona |
| 25 Sep 2024 | Barcelona | 1 – 0 | Getafe |
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
More La Liga previews
- Malaga CF vs RCD Espanyol Saturday 10 October 2026
- Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Saturday 10 October 2026
- Alaves vs Atletico Madrid Saturday 10 October 2026
- Real Madrid vs Villarreal Sunday 11 October 2026
- Elche CF vs Celta Vigo Sunday 11 October 2026
- Real Sociedad vs RC Deportivo A Coruna Sunday 11 October 2026
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.