Beşiktaş vs Crystal Palace: Prediction, Stats and Preview
Europa League · Thursday 22 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Beşiktaş Stadium, İstanbul · updated 2026-10-09
Beşiktaş host Crystal Palace in the Europa League on Thursday 22 October 2026 at Beşiktaş Stadium. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes Beşiktaş clear favourites at 78%, puts the draw at 16% and expects about 2.9 goals.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Beşiktaş 2.38, Crystal Palace 0.55.
- Over 2.5 goals: 56% · both teams to score: 39%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (15%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
The difference-maker: Yéremy Pino
Yéremy Pino, 23 · Crystal Palace · LWF · Creative winger
Moneyball Scout picks Yéremy Pino as the player most likely to decide this match, with a Moneyball Score of 54 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues (attacking 45, defensive 71).
- Big chances created: 0.87 per 90 minutes, better than 91% of wingers
- Expected assists (est.): 0.33 per 90 minutes, better than 85% of wingers
- Fouls won: 2.03 per 90 minutes, better than 78% of wingers
Beşiktaş concede only 0.3 goals a match this season: breaking that defence is the job of a creative winger like Yéremy Pino.
Scout's notes: Big-chance creator, Creator.
What he is worth on the market, how many league points he would add to another club and who could replace him: Moneyball Scouting Players Research.
Season statistics
| Beşiktaş | Per match this season | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 5 |
| 1.7 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 0.3 | Goals conceded | 2.2 |
| 1.45 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.08 |
| – | xG conceded | 2.25 |
| 17.9 | Shots | 10.6 |
| 4.9 | On target | 3.6 |
| 62.0 | Possession % | 43.4 |
| 71% | Clean sheets % | 20% |
| 14% | Both teams scored % | 60% |
| 5.1 | Corners | 2.4 |
| 1.6 | Yellow cards | 1.2 |
| 7.08 | Average rating | 6.73 |
Averages per match from Sportmonks; Crystal Palace in its domestic league.
Players to watch
Crystal Palace
- Quinten Timber midfielder · rating 7.03 · 3 apps
- Anan Khalaili midfielder · rating 7.00 · 5 apps
- Tyrick Mitchell midfielder · rating 7.00 · 5 apps
The best-rated players of each side this season, with 180 minutes or more.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Europa League previews
- AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva Thursday 15 October 2026
- Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad Thursday 15 October 2026
- Torreense vs Sunderland Thursday 15 October 2026
- Lech Poznań vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Thursday 15 October 2026
- Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace Thursday 15 October 2026
- Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm Thursday 15 October 2026
- Celje vs Omonia Nicosia Thursday 15 October 2026
- Salzburg vs AC Milan Thursday 15 October 2026
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.