Brest vs Angers SCO: Prediction, Stats and Preview
Ligue 1 · Saturday 10 October 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest · updated 2026-10-09
Brest host Angers SCO in Ligue 1 on Saturday 10 October 2026 at Stade Francis-Le Ble. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes Brest favourites at 47%, puts the draw at 25% and expects about 2.9 goals.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Brest 1.68, Angers SCO 1.27.
- Over 2.5 goals: 56% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (5 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
The difference-maker: Amine Sbaï
Amine Sbaï, 25 · Angers SCO · LWF · Creative winger
Moneyball Scout picks Amine Sbaï as the player most likely to decide this match, with a Moneyball Score of 69 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues (attacking 69, defensive 33).
- Key passes: 3.58 per 90 minutes, better than 97% of wingers
- Expected assists (est.): 0.42 per 90 minutes, better than 92% of wingers
- Big chances created: 0.63 per 90 minutes, better than 79% of wingers
Brest concede 1.6 goals a match this season (1.16 expected), about the league's average: whether they hold depends on how they handle a creative winger like Amine Sbaï.
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Creator.
What he is worth on the market, how many league points he would add to another club and who could replace him: Moneyball Scouting Players Research.
Season statistics
| Brest | Per match this season | Angers SCO |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Matches | 5 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 1.6 | Goals conceded | 1.0 |
| 2.08 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.62 |
| 1.16 | xG conceded | 1.62 |
| 19.2 | Shots | 15.0 |
| 5.8 | On target | 3.0 |
| 46.8 | Possession % | 51.2 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 40% |
| 80% | Both teams scored % | 40% |
| 5.6 | Corners | 7.6 |
| 1.2 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 6.88 | Average rating | 6.91 |
Averages per match from Sportmonks.
Players to watch
Brest
- Ludovic Ajorque forward · rating 7.34 · 5 apps
- Kamory Doumbia midfielder · rating 7.33 · 5 apps
- Joris Chotard midfielder · rating 7.19 · 5 apps
Angers SCO
- Anthony Lopes goalkeeper · rating 7.85 · 5 apps
- Branco van den Boomen midfielder · rating 7.44 · 5 apps
- Amine Sbaï midfielder · rating 7.34 · 5 apps
The best-rated players of each side this season, with 180 minutes or more.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Ligue 1 previews
- Lens vs Olympique Lyonnais Friday 9 October 2026
- Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans Saturday 10 October 2026
- Monaco vs Toulouse Saturday 10 October 2026
- Lorient vs Paris Saturday 10 October 2026
- Troyes vs Olympique Marseille Sunday 11 October 2026
- Le Mans vs Toulouse Friday 16 October 2026
- Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain Saturday 17 October 2026
- Troyes vs Lens Saturday 17 October 2026
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.