Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction and Betting Tips | Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Ligue 1 · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 16:15 UTC · Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest · updated 2026-10-25
Brest welcome Olympique Lyonnais to Stade Francis-Le Ble in Brest in Ligue 1 Gameweek 10 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 16:15 UTC.
Brest have played 8 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.5 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate. Olympique Lyonnais have played 7 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.9 and conceding 0.7 goals a game and winning 57% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Brest 37%, the draw 26%, Olympique Lyonnais 37%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Brest 1.43, Olympique Lyonnais 1.44.
- Over 2.5 goals: 55% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (8 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Brest: form and key numbers
In style Brest play long and direct, cross a lot, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.94 a match created, 1.23 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.5).
- Shots: 17.0 a match, 5.9 on target.
- Possession: 46.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 88% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
Olympique Lyonnais: form and key numbers
In style Olympique Lyonnais play long and direct, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.73 a match created, 1.12 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.9).
- Shots: 12.6 a match, 4.9 on target.
- Possession: 51.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 43% of matches (67% away).
- Both teams scored in 57% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais: season averages side by side
| Brest | Per match this season | Olympique Lyonnais |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matches | 7 |
| 1.8 | Goals scored | 1.9 |
| 1.5 | Goals conceded | 0.7 |
| 1.94 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.73 |
| 1.23 | xG conceded | 1.12 |
| 17.0 | Shots | 12.6 |
| 5.9 | On target | 4.9 |
| 46.4 | Possession % | 51.7 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 43% |
| 88% | Both teams scored % | 57% |
| 4.6 | Corners | 4.3 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
| 6.85 | Average rating | 6.89 |
Players to watch
Brest
- Bradley Locko LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 64 · Dribbler, Duel winner (top 11% of his position)
- Hugo Magnetti CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 62 · Reads the game, Ball-winner (top 3% of his position)
Olympique Lyonnais
- Dominik Greif GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 74 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 4% of his position)
- Corentin Tolisso CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 56 · Creator, Reads the game (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ernest Nuamah
Ernest Nuamah, 22 · Olympique Lyonnais · RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 66
Ernest Nuamah, 22, plays as a winger for Olympique Lyonnais in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in expected goals and shots. Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 66
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 63
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.53 / 90 | 92% |
| Shots | 3.33 / 90 | 80% |
| Big chances created | 0.48 / 90 | 73% |
| Successful dribbles | 2.14 / 90 | 73% |
| Accurate crosses | 0.95 / 90 | 68% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ★★★ Classic winger Winger
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions.
- What Ernest Nuamah is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ernest Nuamah's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais prediction
Olympique Lyonnais should have more of the ball, with Brest likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Brest are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Olympique Lyonnais go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.43 for Brest and 1.44 for Olympique Lyonnais - with over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 59%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Brest 1-1 Olympique Lyonnais
Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 37%
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.86 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (55%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.9 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 8.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais: questions and answers
When is Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais?
Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 16:15 UTC, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 10.
Where is Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais played?
At Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest, Brest's home ground.
Who will win Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais?
It is close: Brest 37%, draw 26%, Olympique Lyonnais 37%. Our prediction is Brest 1-1 Olympique Lyonnais.
Who is the player to watch in Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais?
Ernest Nuamah of Olympique Lyonnais: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 66 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.