Nice vs Rennes Prediction and Betting Tips | Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Ligue 1 · Saturday 31 October 2026 · 16:15 UTC · Allianz Riviera, Nice · updated 2026-10-17
Nice welcome Rennes to Allianz Riviera in Nice in Ligue 1 Gameweek 9 action on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 16:15 UTC.
Nice have played 6 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 100% win rate. Rennes have played 6 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 67% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 25% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Nice 36%, the draw 26%, Rennes 38%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Nice 1.40, Rennes 1.45.
- Over 2.5 goals: 54% · both teams to score: 58%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Nice: form and key numbers
In style Nice keep the ball, press high.
- Expected goals: 0.99 a match created, 1.36 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.9).
- Shots: 11.7 a match, 3.5 on target.
- Possession: 55.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.2 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.77.
Rennes: form and key numbers
In style Rennes cross a lot, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.82 a match created, 1.85 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.1).
- Shots: 17.0 a match, 6.3 on target.
- Possession: 52.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Nice vs Rennes: season averages side by side
| Nice | Per match this season | Rennes |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 6 |
| 0.8 | Goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.7 |
| 0.99 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.82 |
| 1.36 | xG conceded | 1.85 |
| 11.7 | Shots | 17.0 |
| 3.5 | On target | 6.3 |
| 55.0 | Possession % | 52.3 |
| 17% | Clean sheets % | 17% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 5.2 | Corners | 6.2 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 6.77 | Average rating | 6.89 |
Players to watch
Nice
- Xavier Mandza DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 59 · Ball circulator, Long passer (top 9% of his position)
- Jonathan Clauss RWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 58 · Creator, Gets into scoring positions (top 11% of his position)
Rennes
- Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 67 · Ball-winner, Reads the game (top 6% of his position)
- Przemyslaw Frankowski RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 62 · Creator, Chance creator (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Mahamadou Nagida
Mahamadou Nagida, 21 · Rennes · LWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 64
Mahamadou Nagida, 21, plays as a wing-back for Rennes in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in tackles and interceptions. Weakest in expected assists (est.). Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Accomplished, 79
- RB · Full-back Accomplished, 75
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 64
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Tackles | 4.44 / 90 | 98% |
| Interceptions | 2.37 / 90 | 98% |
| Duels won | 7.11 / 90 | 86% |
| Successful dribbles | 1.18 / 90 | 65% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.48 / 90 | 61% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Defensive full-back Full-back
Scout's notes: Ball-winner, Reads the game, Duel winner.
- What Mahamadou Nagida is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Mahamadou Nagida's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Nice vs Rennes prediction
Nice should have more of the ball; Nice press high to win the ball back; Rennes work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.40 for Nice and 1.45 for Rennes - with over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 58%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Nice 1-1 Rennes
Nice vs Rennes betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 38%
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.85 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (54%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 58% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Ligue 1 previews
- Brest vs Nice Friday 23 October 2026
- Toulouse vs Troyes Saturday 24 October 2026
- Lens vs Paris Saturday 24 October 2026
- Monaco vs LOSC Lille Sunday 25 October 2026
- Rennes vs Strasbourg Sunday 25 October 2026
- Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre Sunday 25 October 2026
- Auxerre vs Le Mans Sunday 25 October 2026
- Angers SCO vs Lorient Sunday 25 October 2026
Nice vs Rennes: questions and answers
When is Nice vs Rennes?
Nice vs Rennes is on Saturday 31 October 2026, kick-off 16:15 UTC, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 9.
Where is Nice vs Rennes played?
At Allianz Riviera, Nice, Nice's home ground.
Who will win Nice vs Rennes?
It is close: Nice 36%, draw 26%, Rennes 38%. Our prediction is Nice 1-1 Rennes.
Who is the player to watch in Nice vs Rennes?
Mahamadou Nagida of Rennes: a complete wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 64 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Nice vs Rennes?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.