Brighton & Hove Albion vs Universitatea Craiova Prediction and Stats | Europa Conference League Gameweek 4
Europa Conference League · Thursday 26 November 2026 · 17:45 UTC · The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer · updated 2026-11-13
Brighton & Hove Albion welcome Universitatea Craiova to The American Express Community Stadium in Falmer in Europa Conference League Gameweek 4 action on Thursday 26 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
Brighton & Hove Albion have played 3 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.0 goals a game and winning 67% of them. At home they average 4.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 67% win rate. Universitatea Craiova have played 3 matches in the Europa Conference League this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.7 goals a game and winning 67% of them. Away from home they average 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Brighton & Hove Albion are clear favourites at 70%, with the draw at 18% and Universitatea Craiova at 12%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Brighton & Hove Albion 2.42, Universitatea Craiova 0.90.
- Over 2.5 goals: 65% · both teams to score: 55%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (10 and 3 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Brighton & Hove Albion: form and key numbers
In style Brighton & Hove Albion keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 2.10 a match created (goals minus xG: -1.5).
- Shots: 24.4 a match, 6.0 on target.
- Possession: 71.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 100% of matches (40% at home).
- Both teams scored in 0% of their matches.
- Corners: 8.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.17.
Universitatea Craiova: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.60 a match created (goals minus xG: +1.2).
- Shots: 15.7 a match, 6.7 on target.
- Possession: 44.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 3.0 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.99.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Universitatea Craiova: season averages side by side
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Per match this season | Universitatea Craiova |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Matches | 3 |
| 1.7 | Goals scored | 2.0 |
| 0.0 | Goals conceded | 0.7 |
| 2.10 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.60 |
| 24.4 | Shots | 15.7 |
| 6.0 | On target | 6.7 |
| 71.4 | Possession % | 44.0 |
| 100% | Clean sheets % | 33% |
| 0% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 8.6 | Corners | 5.0 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 3.0 |
| 7.17 | Average rating | 6.99 |
Players to watch
Brighton & Hove Albion
- Bart Verbruggen GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 60 · Dominant in the air, Secure passer (top 16% of his position)
- Luka Vuskovic CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 58 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 5% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Maxim De Cuyper
Maxim De Cuyper, 25 · Brighton & Hove Albion · LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 63
Maxim De Cuyper, 25, plays as a wing-back for Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in expected goals and key passes. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LB · Full-back Natural, 63
- LWB · Wing-back Natural, 63
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 56
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.24 / 90 | 98% |
| Key passes | 2.50 / 90 | 94% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.63 / 90 | 85% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.29 / 90 | 83% |
| Dribbled past | 0.44 / 90 | 82% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
- ★★★★ Creative winger Winger
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, Chance creator, Crosser.
- What Maxim De Cuyper is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Maxim De Cuyper's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Universitatea Craiova prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 2.42 for Brighton & Hove Albion and 0.90 for Universitatea Craiova - with over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 55%. Brighton & Hove Albion have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Universitatea Craiova
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Universitatea Craiova: what the numbers say
- 1. Brighton & Hove Albion win, the likeliest result 70% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 3 or more goals 65% by the model, 3.33 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.4 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 or more corners 13.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Brighton & Hove Albion vs Universitatea Craiova: questions and answers
When is Brighton & Hove Albion vs Universitatea Craiova?
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Universitatea Craiova is on Thursday 26 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC, in Europa Conference League Gameweek 4.
Where is Brighton & Hove Albion vs Universitatea Craiova played?
At The American Express Community Stadium, Falmer, Brighton & Hove Albion's home ground.
Who will win Brighton & Hove Albion vs Universitatea Craiova?
Brighton & Hove Albion are the favourites: Brighton & Hove Albion 70%, draw 18%, Universitatea Craiova 12%. Our prediction is Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Universitatea Craiova.
Who is the player to watch in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Universitatea Craiova?
Maxim De Cuyper of Brighton & Hove Albion: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 63 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Universitatea Craiova?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.