Como vs Juventus Prediction and Stats | Serie A Gameweek 13
Serie A · Sunday 29 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como · updated 2026-11-15
Como welcome Juventus to Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia in Como in Serie A Gameweek 13 action on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Como have played 11 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 64% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 43% win rate. Juventus have played 11 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 45% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 6 matches, with a 40% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Como are narrow favourites at 42%, with the draw at 29% and Juventus at 29%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Como 1.34, Juventus 1.05.
- Over 2.5 goals: 43% · both teams to score: 49%.
- Most likely score: 2–0 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Como: form and key numbers
In style Como keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.71 a match created, 1.33 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.8).
- Shots: 18.9 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 61.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 55% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.00.
Juventus: form and key numbers
In style Juventus keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.49 a match created, 0.92 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.3).
- Shots: 16.4 a match, 5.2 on target.
- Possession: 58.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 45% of matches (40% away).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 8.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
Como vs Juventus: season averages side by side
| Como | Per match this season | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 0.9 | Goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 1.71 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.49 |
| 1.33 | xG conceded | 0.92 |
| 18.9 | Shots | 16.4 |
| 5.8 | On target | 5.2 |
| 61.6 | Possession % | 58.1 |
| 27% | Clean sheets % | 45% |
| 55% | Both teams scored % | 36% |
| 6.6 | Corners | 8.6 |
| 1.1 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
| 7.00 | Average rating | 6.92 |
Players to watch
Como
- Luis Milla CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 72 · Secure passer, Reads the game (top 1% of his position)
- Lucas Da Cunha CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 70 · Gets into scoring positions, Press-resistant (top 5% of his position)
Juventus
- Nick Woltemade CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 68 · Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions (top 3% of his position)
- Douglas Luiz CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 66 · Ball circulator, Secure passer (top 7% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Nico Paz
Nico Paz, 22 · Como · AMF · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 82
Nico Paz, 22, plays as an attacking midfielder for Como in Serie A. Strongest for his role in shots and successful dribbles. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average attacking midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 82
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 78
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 5.03 / 90 | 100% |
| Successful dribbles | 1.97 / 90 | 96% |
| Through balls | 0.22 / 90 | 93% |
| Big chances created | 0.22 / 90 | 88% |
| Expected goals | 0.35 / 90 | 88% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Attacking midfielder
- ★★★★½ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
Scout's notes: High shot volume, Dribbler, Through-ball threat.
- What Nico Paz is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Como vs Juventus prediction
Como should have more of the ball; both work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals - 1.34 for Como and 1.05 for Juventus - with over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams scoring at 49%. Como have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Como 2-0 Juventus
Como vs Juventus: what the numbers say
- 1. Como unbeaten (win or draw) 71% between them
- 2. 2 goals or fewer 57% by the model, 2.39 goals expected
- 3. 4 cards or fewer the two sides average 3.5 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 or more corners 15.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Serie A previews
- Lazio vs Lecce Saturday 21 November 2026
- Como vs Cagliari Saturday 21 November 2026
- Parma vs Roma Saturday 21 November 2026
- Napoli vs Torino Saturday 21 November 2026
- Juventus vs Venezia Sunday 22 November 2026
- Sassuolo vs Genoa Sunday 22 November 2026
- Bologna vs Udinese Sunday 22 November 2026
- AC Milan vs Frosinone Sunday 22 November 2026
Como vs Juventus: questions and answers
When is Como vs Juventus?
Como vs Juventus is on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Serie A Gameweek 13.
Where is Como vs Juventus played?
At Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como, Como's home ground.
Who will win Como vs Juventus?
Como are the favourites: Como 42%, draw 29%, Juventus 29%. Our prediction is Como 2-0 Juventus.
Who is the player to watch in Como vs Juventus?
Nico Paz of Como: a shadow striker with a Moneyball Score of 82 against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Como vs Juventus?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 43%.
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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.