Coventry City vs Fulham Prediction and Betting Tips | Premier League Gameweek 8
Premier League · Saturday 24 October 2026 · 14:00 UTC · The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry · updated 2026-10-10
Coventry City welcome Fulham to The Coventry Building Society Arena in Coventry in Premier League Gameweek 8 action on Saturday 24 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Coventry City have played 5 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 0.2 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 20% of them. At home they average 0.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate. Fulham have played 5 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 0% of them. Away from home they average 0.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Fulham are narrow favourites at 45%, with the draw at 28% and Coventry City at 27%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Coventry City 1.07, Fulham 1.46.
- Over 2.5 goals: 46% · both teams to score: 51%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (13%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (5 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Coventry City: form and key numbers
In style Coventry City are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 0.84 a match created, 1.70 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.2).
- Shots: 10.2 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 39.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 0% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 0.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.63.
Fulham: form and key numbers
In style Fulham keep the ball, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.66 a match created, 1.56 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.3).
- Shots: 14.4 a match, 4.4 on target.
- Possession: 54.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Coventry City vs Fulham: season averages side by side
| Coventry City | Per match this season | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Matches | 5 |
| 0.2 | Goals scored | 1.0 |
| 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 0.84 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.66 |
| 1.70 | xG conceded | 1.56 |
| 10.2 | Shots | 14.4 |
| 3.2 | On target | 4.4 |
| 39.0 | Possession % | 54.4 |
| 20% | Clean sheets % | 20% |
| 0% | Both teams scored % | 60% |
| 4.0 | Corners | 5.6 |
| 0.8 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
| 6.63 | Average rating | 6.75 |
Players to watch
Coventry City
- Bobby Thomas CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 54 · Box defender, Blocks shots (top 10% of his position)
- Jay Dasilva LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 52 · Dribbler, Hard to dribble past (top 11% of his position)
Fulham
- Alex Iwobi DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 50 · Long passer, Disciplined (top 8% of his position)
- Gonzalo García Torres CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 48 · Dominant in the air, High shot volume (top 15% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Shea Charles
Shea Charles, 22 · Fulham · DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 60
Shea Charles, 22, plays as a defensive midfielder for Fulham in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in blocked shots and interceptions. Weakest in long balls. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average defensive midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 60
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Blocked shots | 2.37 / 90 | 99% |
| Interceptions | 2.66 / 90 | 94% |
| Fouls committed | 0.30 / 90 | 88% |
| Passes | 59.21 / 90 | 78% |
| Dispossessed | 0.30 / 90 | 72% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Anchor Defensive midfielder
- ★★★ Ball-winner Defensive midfielder
- ★★★ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Blocks shots, Reads the game, Disciplined.
- What Shea Charles is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Shea Charles's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Coventry City vs Fulham prediction
Fulham should have more of the ball, with Coventry City likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Coventry City are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Fulham like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.07 for Coventry City and 1.46 for Fulham - with over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 51%. Fulham have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Coventry City 0-1 Fulham
Coventry City vs Fulham betting tips
- Tip 1: Fulham win or draw (double chance) 73% between them
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.53 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (46%)
- Tip 3: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Over 8.5 corners 9.6 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Premier League previews
- Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur Saturday 10 October 2026
- Coventry City vs Newcastle United Monday 12 October 2026
- Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest Friday 23 October 2026
- Aston Villa vs Manchester City Saturday 24 October 2026
- Arsenal vs Everton Saturday 24 October 2026
- Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur Saturday 24 October 2026
Coventry City vs Fulham: questions and answers
When is Coventry City vs Fulham?
Coventry City vs Fulham is on Saturday 24 October 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC, in Premier League Gameweek 8.
Where is Coventry City vs Fulham played?
At The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, Coventry City's home ground.
Who will win Coventry City vs Fulham?
Fulham are the favourites: Coventry City 27%, draw 28%, Fulham 45%. Our prediction is Coventry City 0-1 Fulham.
Who is the player to watch in Coventry City vs Fulham?
Shea Charles of Fulham: a anchor with a Moneyball Score of 60 against every defensive midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Coventry City vs Fulham?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Tags
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