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Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht: Prediction, Stats and Preview

Europa League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb · updated 2026-10-09

Dinamo Zagreb host Anderlecht in the Europa League on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Stadion Maksimir. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes Anderlecht slight favourites at 39%, in a match close to a coin toss, puts the draw at 26% and expects about 3.0 goals.

Moneyball's estimate

Dinamo Zagreb36%fair odds 2.80
Draw26%fair odds 3.88
Anderlecht39%fair odds 2.60

From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.

Season statistics

Dinamo ZagrebPer match this seasonAnderlecht
6Matches7
2.3Goals scored2.1
1.5Goals conceded0.9
1.38Expected goals (xG)0.98
19.3Shots11.6
5.5On target5.4
60.3Possession %46.0
17%Clean sheets %43%
83%Both teams scored %57%
7.5Corners5.1
1.8Yellow cards2.3
6.79Average rating6.70

Averages per match from Sportmonks; Dinamo Zagreb in its domestic league.

The full analysis

Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.