Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskva Prediction and Stats | Russian Premier League Gameweek 15
Russian Premier League · Sunday 22 November 2026 · 13:30 UTC · Anzhi-Arena, Kaspiysk · updated 2026-11-13
Dynamo Makhachkala welcome Spartak Moskva to Anzhi-Arena in Kaspiysk in Russian Premier League Gameweek 15 action on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 13:30 UTC.
Dynamo Makhachkala have played 14 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 36% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 6 matches, with a 40% win rate. Spartak Moskva have played 14 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.9 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 64% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Spartak Moskva are narrow favourites at 57%, with the draw at 23% and Dynamo Makhachkala at 20%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Dynamo Makhachkala 1.06, Spartak Moskva 1.92.
- Over 2.5 goals: 57% · both teams to score: 56%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (14 and 14 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Dynamo Makhachkala: form and key numbers
In style Dynamo Makhachkala are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.25 a match created, 1.50 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.6).
- Shots: 10.9 a match, 3.5 on target.
- Possession: 44.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 14% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 57% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.67.
Spartak Moskva: form and key numbers
In style Spartak Moskva keep the ball, press high, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.86 a match created, 1.09 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.0).
- Shots: 16.6 a match, 6.0 on target.
- Possession: 61.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 43% of matches (17% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.0 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.95.
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskva: season averages side by side
| Dynamo Makhachkala | Per match this season | Spartak Moskva |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Matches | 14 |
| 1.2 | Goals scored | 1.9 |
| 1.9 | Goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 1.25 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.86 |
| 1.50 | xG conceded | 1.09 |
| 10.9 | Shots | 16.6 |
| 3.5 | On target | 6.0 |
| 44.0 | Possession % | 61.2 |
| 14% | Clean sheets % | 43% |
| 57% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 3.4 | Corners | 6.6 |
| 2.2 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
| 6.67 | Average rating | 6.95 |
Players to watch
Dynamo Makhachkala
- Mohammadjavad Hosseinnejad AMF · Dribbling playmaker · Moneyball Score 20 · Big-chance creator, Through-ball threat (top 45% of his position)
- Makhmud Makhamadzhonov LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 18 · Reads the game, Dribbler (top 19% of his position)
Spartak Moskva
- Aleksandr Maksimenko GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 28 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 33% of his position)
- Marquinhos LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 26 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 23% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Danil Prutsev
Danil Prutsev, 26 · Spartak Moskva · CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 30
Danil Prutsev, 26, plays as a central midfielder for Spartak Moskva in the Russian Premier League. Strongest for his role in expected goals and expected assists (est.). Weakest in interceptions. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 30
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 27
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 21
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.21 / 90 | 64% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.24 / 90 | 64% |
| Successful dribbles | 1.19 / 90 | 64% |
| Key passes | 2.21 / 90 | 62% |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 55% |
Roles he suits
- ★★½ Box-to-box midfielder Central midfielder
- ★★½ Playmaker Central midfielder
- ★½ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- What Danil Prutsev is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Danil Prutsev's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskva prediction
Spartak Moskva should have more of the ball, with Dynamo Makhachkala likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Dynamo Makhachkala go long and direct; Spartak Moskva press high to win the ball back. Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals - 1.06 for Dynamo Makhachkala and 1.92 for Spartak Moskva - with over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 56%. Spartak Moskva have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Dynamo Makhachkala 1-2 Spartak Moskva
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskva: what the numbers say
- 1. Spartak Moskva win, the likeliest result 57% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 3 or more goals 57% by the model, 2.98 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 56% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 8.2 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 10.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Russian Premier League previews
- Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov Friday 20 November 2026
- Orenburg vs Baltika Kaliningrad Saturday 21 November 2026
- Akron vs Fakel Saturday 21 November 2026
- Rubin Kazan vs Zenit Saturday 21 November 2026
- CSKA Moskva vs Akhmat Grozny Saturday 21 November 2026
- Dinamo Moskva vs Krasnodar Sunday 22 November 2026
- Rodina Moskva vs Lokomotiv Moskva Sunday 22 November 2026
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskva: questions and answers
When is Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskva?
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskva is on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 13:30 UTC, in Russian Premier League Gameweek 15.
Where is Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskva played?
At Anzhi-Arena, Kaspiysk, Dynamo Makhachkala's home ground.
Who will win Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskva?
Spartak Moskva are the favourites: Dynamo Makhachkala 20%, draw 23%, Spartak Moskva 57%. Our prediction is Dynamo Makhachkala 1-2 Spartak Moskva.
Who is the player to watch in Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskva?
Danil Prutsev of Spartak Moskva: a box-to-box midfielder with a Moneyball Score of 30 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Dynamo Makhachkala vs Spartak Moskva?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.0 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 57%.
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Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.