Rubin Kazan vs Zenit Prediction and Stats | Russian Premier League Gameweek 15
Russian Premier League · Saturday 21 November 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Ak Bars Arena, Kazan' · updated 2026-11-13
Rubin Kazan welcome Zenit to Ak Bars Arena in Kazan' in Russian Premier League Gameweek 15 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 14:30 UTC.
Rubin Kazan have played 14 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 29% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 7 matches, with a 50% win rate. Zenit have played 14 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 71% of them. Away from home they average 2.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded over 7 matches, with a 60% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Zenit are narrow favourites at 54%, with the draw at 25% and Rubin Kazan at 21%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Rubin Kazan 1.01, Zenit 1.75.
- Over 2.5 goals: 52% · both teams to score: 53%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (14 and 14 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Rubin Kazan: form and key numbers
In style Rubin Kazan are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.07 a match created, 1.41 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.0).
- Shots: 11.2 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 46.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 14% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.71.
Zenit: form and key numbers
In style Zenit keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.87 a match created, 1.03 conceded (goals minus xG: +5.9).
- Shots: 15.6 a match, 6.0 on target.
- Possession: 58.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 43% of matches (67% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.94.
Rubin Kazan vs Zenit: season averages side by side
| Rubin Kazan | Per match this season | Zenit |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Matches | 14 |
| 1.0 | Goals scored | 2.3 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 1.07 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.87 |
| 1.41 | xG conceded | 1.03 |
| 11.2 | Shots | 15.6 |
| 3.2 | On target | 6.0 |
| 46.4 | Possession % | 58.8 |
| 14% | Clean sheets % | 43% |
| 64% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 3.7 | Corners | 5.6 |
| 1.9 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
| 6.71 | Average rating | 6.94 |
Players to watch
Rubin Kazan
- Egor Teslenko CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 25 · Hard to dribble past, Dominant in the air (top 2% of his position)
- Evgeniy Staver GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 23 · Dominant in the air, Box defender (top 32% of his position)
Zenit
- Aleksandr Sobolev CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 41 · Takes high-quality shots, Dominant in the air (top 2% of his position)
- Douglas Santos LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 26 · Chance creator, Hard to dribble past (top 28% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Maksim Glushenkov
Maksim Glushenkov, 27 · Zenit · SS · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 48
Maksim Glushenkov, 27, plays as a second striker for Zenit in the Russian Premier League. Strongest for his role in shots and goals, luck taken out. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every second striker in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average second striker, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- SS · Second striker Natural, 48
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 40
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 5.25 / 90 | 97% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.58 / 90 | 85% |
| Expected goals | 0.48 / 90 | 79% |
| Fouls won | 2.33 / 90 | 79% |
| Key passes | 2.25 / 90 | 50% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★½ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: High shot volume, Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring.
⚠ 10 goals from only 5.8 xG: finishing this far above his chances rarely lasts: check it is not a one-season wonder.
- What Maksim Glushenkov is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Maksim Glushenkov's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Rubin Kazan vs Zenit prediction
Zenit should have more of the ball, with Rubin Kazan likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Rubin Kazan are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Zenit go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.01 for Rubin Kazan and 1.75 for Zenit - with over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 53%. Zenit have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Rubin Kazan 1-2 Zenit
Rubin Kazan vs Zenit: what the numbers say
- 1. Zenit unbeaten (win or draw) 79% between them
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.75 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (52%)
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 7.9 cards a match between them
- 4. 9 or more corners 9.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Rubin Kazan vs Zenit: questions and answers
When is Rubin Kazan vs Zenit?
Rubin Kazan vs Zenit is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 14:30 UTC, in Russian Premier League Gameweek 15.
Where is Rubin Kazan vs Zenit played?
At Ak Bars Arena, Kazan', Rubin Kazan's home ground.
Who will win Rubin Kazan vs Zenit?
Zenit are the favourites: Rubin Kazan 21%, draw 25%, Zenit 54%. Our prediction is Rubin Kazan 1-2 Zenit.
Who is the player to watch in Rubin Kazan vs Zenit?
Maksim Glushenkov of Zenit: a shadow striker with a Moneyball Score of 48 against every second striker in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Rubin Kazan vs Zenit?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.