Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov Prediction and Stats | Russian Premier League Gameweek 15
Russian Premier League · Friday 20 November 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Rostov Arena, Rostov · updated 2026-11-13
Rostov welcome Krylya Sovetov to Rostov Arena in Rostov in Russian Premier League Gameweek 15 action on Friday 20 November 2026, kick-off 16:30 UTC.
Rostov have played 14 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 36% of them. At home they average 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 5 matches, with a 60% win rate. Krylya Sovetov have played 14 matches in Russian Premier League this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 29% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Rostov 37%, the draw 28%, Krylya Sovetov 35%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Rostov 1.31, Krylya Sovetov 1.26.
- Over 2.5 goals: 47% · both teams to score: 53%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (14 and 14 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Rostov: form and key numbers
In style Rostov play long and direct, cross a lot, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 0.99 a match created, 1.21 conceded (goals minus xG: +4.1).
- Shots: 13.6 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 47.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 36% of matches (40% at home).
- Both teams scored in 43% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.3 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.83.
Krylya Sovetov: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.56 a match created, 1.27 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.8).
- Shots: 13.8 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 49.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 29% of matches (75% away).
- Both teams scored in 57% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.2 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov: season averages side by side
| Rostov | Per match this season | Krylya Sovetov |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Matches | 14 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 0.99 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.56 |
| 1.21 | xG conceded | 1.27 |
| 13.6 | Shots | 13.8 |
| 5.0 | On target | 4.5 |
| 47.1 | Possession % | 49.4 |
| 36% | Clean sheets % | 29% |
| 43% | Both teams scored % | 57% |
| 4.3 | Corners | 4.2 |
| 2.4 | Yellow cards | 2.4 |
| 6.83 | Average rating | 6.78 |
Players to watch
Rostov
- Andrey Langovich RB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 28 · Reads the game, Duel winner (top 11% of his position)
- Oumar Sako CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 25 · Dominant in the air, Long passer (top 11% of his position)
Krylya Sovetov
- Yuriy Gorshkov LWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 29 · Gets into scoring positions, Crosser (top 35% of his position)
- Mihajlo Banjac CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 18 · Chance creator, Reads the game (top 50% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Ygor Nogueira
Ygor Nogueira, 31 · Rostov · CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 30
Ygor Nogueira, 31, plays as a centre-back for Rostov in the Russian Premier League. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and duels won. Weakest in passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CB · Centre-back Natural, 30
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 4.33 / 90 | 82% |
| Duels won | 8.26 / 90 | 78% |
| Dribbled past | 0.16 / 90 | 70% |
| Long balls | 4.25 / 90 | 65% |
| Interceptions | 1.76 / 90 | 39% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★ Stopper Centre-back
- ★★ Box defender Centre-back
- ★½ Anchor Defensive midfielder
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air.
- What Ygor Nogueira is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Ygor Nogueira's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov prediction
Krylya Sovetov should have more of the ball; Rostov are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals - 1.31 for Rostov and 1.26 for Krylya Sovetov - with over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 53%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Rostov 1-1 Krylya Sovetov
Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 37%
- 2. 2 goals or fewer 53% by the model, 2.56 goals expected
- 3. 4 or more cards the two sides average 6.7 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 corners or fewer 8.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov: questions and answers
When is Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov?
Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov is on Friday 20 November 2026, kick-off 16:30 UTC, in Russian Premier League Gameweek 15.
Where is Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov played?
At Rostov Arena, Rostov, Rostov's home ground.
Who will win Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov?
It is close: Rostov 37%, draw 28%, Krylya Sovetov 35%. Our prediction is Rostov 1-1 Krylya Sovetov.
Who is the player to watch in Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov?
Ygor Nogueira of Rostov: a stopper with a Moneyball Score of 30 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Rostov vs Krylya Sovetov?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.6 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.