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Ferencvárosi vs Viktoria Plzeň: Prediction, Stats and Preview

Europa League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Groupama Aréna, Budapest · updated 2026-10-09

Ferencvárosi host Viktoria Plzeň in the Europa League on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Groupama Aréna. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes Ferencvárosi clear favourites at 66%, puts the draw at 19% and expects about 3.3 goals.

Moneyball's estimate

Ferencvárosi66%fair odds 1.51
Draw19%fair odds 5.17
Viktoria Plzeň14%fair odds 7.00

From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 3 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.

Season statistics

FerencvárosiPer match this seasonViktoria Plzeň
9Matches3
2.1Goals scored1.7
0.7Goals conceded2.3
1.10Expected goals (xG)2.48
10.7Shots20.3
3.7On target7.3
46.2Possession %51.3
44%Clean sheets %0%
56%Both teams scored %33%
5.0Corners5.0
1.7Yellow cards2.3
6.88Average rating6.63

Averages per match from Sportmonks.

The full analysis

Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.

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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.