Feyenoord vs Inter Prediction and Betting Tips | Champions League Gameweek 4
Champions League · Tuesday 3 November 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam · updated 2026-10-20
Feyenoord welcome Inter to Stadion Feijenoord in Rotterdam in Champions League Gameweek 4 action on Tuesday 3 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC.
Feyenoord have played 2 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 3.5 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over 1 match, with a 100% win rate. Inter have played 7 matches in the Champions League this season, scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 86% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Inter are clear favourites at 70%, with the draw at 15% and Feyenoord at 14%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Feyenoord 1.40, Inter 3.04.
- Over 2.5 goals: 82% · both teams to score: 72%.
- Most likely score: 1–3 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (2 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Feyenoord: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 0.66 a match created (goals minus xG: +2.7).
- Shots: 8.5 a match, 3.5 on target.
- Possession: 38.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 100% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.53.
Inter: form and key numbers
In style Inter keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.81 a match created, 1.10 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.3).
- Shots: 21.7 a match, 7.3 on target.
- Possession: 62.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 29% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.08.
Feyenoord vs Inter: season averages side by side
| Feyenoord | Per match this season | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Matches | 7 |
| 2.0 | Goals scored | 3.0 |
| 3.5 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 0.66 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.81 |
| – | xG conceded | 1.10 |
| 8.5 | Shots | 21.7 |
| 3.5 | On target | 7.3 |
| 38.0 | Possession % | 62.7 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 29% |
| 100% | Both teams scored % | 71% |
| 2.5 | Corners | 5.7 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
| 6.53 | Average rating | 7.08 |
Players to watch
Inter
- Manuel Akanji CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 72 · Secure passer, Reads the game (top 3% of his position)
- Lautaro Martínez CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 69 · High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Marcus Thuram
Marcus Thuram, 29 · Inter · CF · Complete forward · Moneyball Score 72
Marcus Thuram, 29, plays as a centre-forward for Inter in Serie A. Strongest for his role in shots and expected goals. Weakest in big chances missed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 72
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 4.63 / 90 | 93% |
| Expected goals | 0.74 / 90 | 85% |
| Goals | 0.98 / 90 | 84% |
| Duels won | 6.34 / 90 | 80% |
| Aerial duels won | 2.93 / 90 | 74% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions, Clinical finisher.
- What Marcus Thuram is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Marcus Thuram's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Feyenoord vs Inter prediction
Moneyball's model expects about 4.4 goals - 1.40 for Feyenoord and 3.04 for Inter - with over 2.5 goals at 82% and both teams scoring at 72%. Inter have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Feyenoord 1-3 Inter
Feyenoord vs Inter betting tips
- Tip 1: Inter to win 70% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 82% by the model, 4.45 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 72% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.1 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 8.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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Feyenoord vs Inter: questions and answers
When is Feyenoord vs Inter?
Feyenoord vs Inter is on Tuesday 3 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in Champions League Gameweek 4.
Where is Feyenoord vs Inter played?
At Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam, Feyenoord's home ground.
Who will win Feyenoord vs Inter?
Inter are the favourites: Feyenoord 14%, draw 15%, Inter 70%. Our prediction is Feyenoord 1-3 Inter.
Who is the player to watch in Feyenoord vs Inter?
Marcus Thuram of Inter: a complete forward with a Moneyball Score of 72 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Feyenoord vs Inter?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 82%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.