Frosinone vs Parma Prediction and Stats | Serie A Gameweek 13
Serie A · Saturday 28 November 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone · updated 2026-11-14
Frosinone welcome Parma to Stadio Benito Stirpe in Frosinone in Serie A Gameweek 13 action on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Frosinone have played 11 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 55% of them. At home they average 2.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 83% win rate. Parma have played 11 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 18% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Frosinone are clear favourites at 65%, with the draw at 20% and Parma at 15%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Frosinone 2.29, Parma 1.05.
- Over 2.5 goals: 65% · both teams to score: 59%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Frosinone: form and key numbers
In style Frosinone cross a lot, are strong in the air, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.90 a match created, 2.11 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.1).
- Shots: 20.1 a match, 6.8 on target.
- Possession: 47.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.97.
Parma: form and key numbers
In style Parma are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 0.94 a match created, 1.94 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.4).
- Shots: 10.0 a match, 3.2 on target.
- Possession: 40.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 18% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 45% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
Frosinone vs Parma: season averages side by side
| Frosinone | Per match this season | Parma |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 2.2 | Goals scored | 0.8 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 1.6 |
| 1.90 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.94 |
| 2.11 | xG conceded | 1.94 |
| 20.1 | Shots | 10.0 |
| 6.8 | On target | 3.2 |
| 47.5 | Possession % | 40.1 |
| 27% | Clean sheets % | 18% |
| 45% | Both teams scored % | 45% |
| 7.0 | Corners | 3.3 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
| 6.97 | Average rating | 6.72 |
Players to watch
Frosinone
- Lorenzo Palmisani GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 69 · Dominant in the air, Shot-stopper (top 12% of his position)
- Antonio Raimondo CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 63 · Scores and makes the chances to keep scoring, Rarely wastes a big chance (top 9% of his position)
Parma
- Giovanni Daffara GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 63 · Shot-stopper, Long passer (top 3% of his position)
- Edoardo Corvi GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 62 · Shot-stopper, Dominant in the air (top 31% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Giorgi Kvernadze
Giorgi Kvernadze, 23 · Frosinone · LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 68
Giorgi Kvernadze, 23, plays as a winger for Frosinone in Serie A. Strongest for his role in shots and key passes. Weakest in accurate crosses. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 68
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 3.30 / 90 | 91% |
| Key passes | 2.60 / 90 | 90% |
| Successful dribbles | 3.00 / 90 | 90% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.26 / 90 | 77% |
| Expected goals | 0.27 / 90 | 72% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★ Classic winger Winger
Scout's notes: High shot volume, Chance creator, Dribbler.
- What Giorgi Kvernadze is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Giorgi Kvernadze's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Frosinone vs Parma prediction
Frosinone should have more of the ball, with Parma likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Frosinone are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Parma go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 2.29 for Frosinone and 1.05 for Parma - with over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 59%. Frosinone have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Frosinone 2-1 Parma
Frosinone vs Parma: what the numbers say
- 1. Frosinone win, the likeliest result 65% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 3 or more goals 65% by the model, 3.34 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 59% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.3 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 10.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Serie A previews
- Lazio vs Lecce Saturday 21 November 2026
- Como vs Cagliari Saturday 21 November 2026
- Parma vs Roma Saturday 21 November 2026
- Napoli vs Torino Saturday 21 November 2026
- Juventus vs Venezia Sunday 22 November 2026
- Sassuolo vs Genoa Sunday 22 November 2026
- Bologna vs Udinese Sunday 22 November 2026
- AC Milan vs Frosinone Sunday 22 November 2026
Frosinone vs Parma: questions and answers
When is Frosinone vs Parma?
Frosinone vs Parma is on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC, in Serie A Gameweek 13.
Where is Frosinone vs Parma played?
At Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone, Frosinone's home ground.
Who will win Frosinone vs Parma?
Frosinone are the favourites: Frosinone 65%, draw 20%, Parma 15%. Our prediction is Frosinone 2-1 Parma.
Who is the player to watch in Frosinone vs Parma?
Giorgi Kvernadze of Frosinone: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 68 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Frosinone vs Parma?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.