Gent vs KV Kortrijk Prediction and Betting Tips | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 11
Belgian Pro League · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Planet Group Arena, Gent · updated 2026-10-25
Gent welcome KV Kortrijk to Planet Group Arena in Gent in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 11 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Gent have played 8 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.9 and conceding 0.5 goals a game and winning 88% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 57% win rate. KV Kortrijk have played 8 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 0.3 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 13% of them. Away from home they average 0.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Gent are clear favourites at 75%, with the draw at 17% and KV Kortrijk at 7%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Gent 2.22, KV Kortrijk 0.54.
- Over 2.5 goals: 52% · both teams to score: 38%.
- Most likely score: 3–0 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (8 and 8 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Gent: form and key numbers
In style Gent play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.50 a match created, 0.88 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.0).
- Shots: 12.5 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 46.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.96.
KV Kortrijk: form and key numbers
In style KV Kortrijk are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.02 a match created, 1.91 conceded (goals minus xG: -6.2).
- Shots: 11.0 a match, 2.6 on target.
- Possession: 45.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 13% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.62.
Gent vs KV Kortrijk: season averages side by side
| Gent | Per match this season | KV Kortrijk |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matches | 8 |
| 1.9 | Goals scored | 0.3 |
| 0.5 | Goals conceded | 2.3 |
| 1.50 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.02 |
| 0.88 | xG conceded | 1.91 |
| 12.5 | Shots | 11.0 |
| 5.3 | On target | 2.6 |
| 46.8 | Possession % | 45.4 |
| 50% | Clean sheets % | 13% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 13% |
| 4.5 | Corners | 3.5 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
| 6.96 | Average rating | 6.62 |
Players to watch
Gent
- Tibe De Vlieger CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 57 · Ball-winner, Press-resistant (top 11% of his position)
- José Mendieta CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 53 · Dominant in the air, Takes high-quality shots (top 15% of his position)
KV Kortrijk
- Brecht Dejaegere CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 49 · Creator, Ball-winner (top 10% of his position)
- Axel Drouhin CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 49 · Disciplined, Reads the game (top 14% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Mathias Delorge
Mathias Delorge, 22 · Gent · CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 65
Mathias Delorge, 22, plays as a central midfielder for Gent in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in long balls and interceptions. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 65
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 60
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Long balls | 7.18 / 90 | 99% |
| Interceptions | 2.46 / 90 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 78% |
| Key passes | 1.89 / 90 | 74% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.18 / 90 | 64% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
- ★★★½ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ★★★½ Playmaker Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Long passer, Reads the game.
- What Mathias Delorge is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Mathias Delorge's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Gent vs KV Kortrijk prediction
Gent should have more of the ball; Gent are a threat in the air and from set pieces; KV Kortrijk go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 2.22 for Gent and 0.54 for KV Kortrijk - with over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 38%. Gent have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Gent 3-0 KV Kortrijk
Gent vs KV Kortrijk betting tips
- Tip 1: Gent to win 75% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 1.5 goals 2.76 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (52%)
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: no 62% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 8.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Belgian Pro League previews
- Club Brugge vs Sint-Truiden Sunday 25 October 2026
- Gent vs Anderlecht Sunday 25 October 2026
- Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge Sunday 25 October 2026
- Zulte-Waregem vs Club Brugge Friday 30 October 2026
- Mechelen vs Genk Saturday 31 October 2026
- Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk Saturday 31 October 2026
- SK Beveren vs Union Saint-Gilloise Saturday 31 October 2026
- Anderlecht vs Westerlo Saturday 31 October 2026
Gent vs KV Kortrijk: questions and answers
When is Gent vs KV Kortrijk?
Gent vs KV Kortrijk is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 11.
Where is Gent vs KV Kortrijk played?
At Planet Group Arena, Gent, Gent's home ground.
Who will win Gent vs KV Kortrijk?
Gent are the favourites: Gent 75%, draw 17%, KV Kortrijk 7%. Our prediction is Gent 3-0 KV Kortrijk.
Who is the player to watch in Gent vs KV Kortrijk?
Mathias Delorge of Gent: a ball-winning midfielder with a Moneyball Score of 65 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Gent vs KV Kortrijk?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.