La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge Prediction and Betting Tips | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 11
Belgian Pro League · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Stade du Tivoli, La Louvière · updated 2026-10-25
La Louvière welcome Cercle Brugge to Stade du Tivoli in La Louvière in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 11 action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
La Louvière have played 9 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 22% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 100% win rate. Cercle Brugge have played 8 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 0% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: La Louvière 39%, the draw 25%, Cercle Brugge 36%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: La Louvière 1.61, Cercle Brugge 1.54.
- Over 2.5 goals: 61% · both teams to score: 64%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 8 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
La Louvière: form and key numbers
In style La Louvière are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.28 a match created, 2.10 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.6).
- Shots: 11.4 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 37.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 44% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.69.
Cercle Brugge: form and key numbers
In style Cercle Brugge are happy without the ball, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.48 a match created, 1.54 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.9).
- Shots: 14.6 a match, 4.3 on target.
- Possession: 43.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 63% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge: season averages side by side
| La Louvière | Per match this season | Cercle Brugge |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 8 |
| 1.2 | Goals scored | 1.1 |
| 2.0 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 1.28 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.48 |
| 2.10 | xG conceded | 1.54 |
| 11.4 | Shots | 14.6 |
| 4.0 | On target | 4.3 |
| 37.9 | Possession % | 43.5 |
| 22% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 44% | Both teams scored % | 63% |
| 3.4 | Corners | 7.5 |
| 2.3 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
| 6.69 | Average rating | 6.73 |
Players to watch
La Louvière
- Zsombor Gruber WF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 51 · Crosser, Dribbler (top 5% of his position)
- Marcos Peano GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 51 · Box defender, Dominant in the air (top 32% of his position)
Cercle Brugge
- Steve Ngoura CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 50 · High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions (top 23% of his position)
- Valy Konaté LB · Defensive full-back · Moneyball Score 49 · Reads the game, Crosser (top 2% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Gary Magnée
Gary Magnée, 27 · Cercle Brugge · RWB · Attacking wing-back · Moneyball Score 64
Gary Magnée, 27, plays as a wing-back for Cercle Brugge in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and key passes. Weakest in dribbled past. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RWB · Wing-back Natural, 64
- RB · Full-back Natural, 63
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 63
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 3.63 / 90 | 99% |
| Key passes | 3.37 / 90 | 96% |
| Interceptions | 2.33 / 90 | 96% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.30 / 90 | 77% |
| Expected goals | 0.09 / 90 | 51% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
Scout's notes: Crosser, Chance creator, Reads the game.
- What Gary Magnée is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Gary Magnée's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge prediction
Cercle Brugge should have more of the ball; La Louvière are a threat in the air and from set pieces; Cercle Brugge work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals - 1.61 for La Louvière and 1.54 for Cercle Brugge - with over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 64%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: La Louvière 1-1 Cercle Brugge
La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 39%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 61% by the model, 3.16 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 64% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.6 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 10.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Belgian Pro League previews
- Club Brugge vs Sint-Truiden Sunday 25 October 2026
- Gent vs Anderlecht Sunday 25 October 2026
- Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge Sunday 25 October 2026
- Zulte-Waregem vs Club Brugge Friday 30 October 2026
- Mechelen vs Genk Saturday 31 October 2026
- Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk Saturday 31 October 2026
- SK Beveren vs Union Saint-Gilloise Saturday 31 October 2026
- Anderlecht vs Westerlo Saturday 31 October 2026
La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge: questions and answers
When is La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge?
La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 11.
Where is La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge played?
At Stade du Tivoli, La Louvière, La Louvière's home ground.
Who will win La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge?
It is close: La Louvière 39%, draw 25%, Cercle Brugge 36%. Our prediction is La Louvière 1-1 Cercle Brugge.
Who is the player to watch in La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge?
Gary Magnée of Cercle Brugge: a attacking wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 64 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.