Le Havre vs Lorient Prediction and Betting Tips | Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Ligue 1 · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 16:15 UTC · Stade Océane, Le Havre · updated 2026-10-25
Le Havre welcome Lorient to Stade Océane in Le Havre in Ligue 1 Gameweek 10 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 16:15 UTC.
Le Havre have played 7 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.6 goals a game and winning 0% of them. At home they average 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 0% win rate. Lorient have played 7 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 43% of them. Away from home they average 0.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Le Havre 35%, the draw 30%, Lorient 35%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Le Havre 1.16, Lorient 1.16.
- Over 2.5 goals: 41% · both teams to score: 48%.
- Most likely score: 0–2 (7%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Le Havre: form and key numbers
In style Le Havre press high, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.66 a match created, 1.60 conceded (goals minus xG: -6.6).
- Shots: 15.6 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 49.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 14% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 57% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.82.
Lorient: form and key numbers
In style Lorient are happy without the ball, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.18 a match created, 1.25 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.3).
- Shots: 9.9 a match, 3.4 on target.
- Possession: 46.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 57% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 43% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.89.
Le Havre vs Lorient: season averages side by side
| Le Havre | Per match this season | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 7 |
| 0.7 | Goals scored | 1.0 |
| 1.6 | Goals conceded | 0.9 |
| 1.66 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.18 |
| 1.60 | xG conceded | 1.25 |
| 15.6 | Shots | 9.9 |
| 4.7 | On target | 3.4 |
| 49.6 | Possession % | 46.0 |
| 14% | Clean sheets % | 57% |
| 57% | Both teams scored % | 43% |
| 5.7 | Corners | 2.6 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 1.1 |
| 6.82 | Average rating | 6.89 |
Players to watch
Le Havre
- Lionel Mpasi-Nzau GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 61 · Shot-stopper, Dominant in the air (top 4% of his position)
- Junior Mwanga DMF · Anchor · Moneyball Score 57 · Hard to dribble past, Disciplined (top 10% of his position)
Lorient
- Arthur Avom CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 66 · Reads the game, Long passer (top 3% of his position)
- Montassar Talbi CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 59 · Disciplined, Box defender (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Djibril Ouziad
Djibril Ouziad, 17 · Le Havre · RWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 62
Djibril Ouziad, 17, plays as a wing-back for Le Havre in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and successful dribbles. Weakest in expected assists (est.). Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wing-back, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RB · Full-back Natural, 62
- RWB · Wing-back Natural, 62
- RM · Wide midfielder Natural, 61
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 2.48 / 90 | 93% |
| Successful dribbles | 1.80 / 90 | 92% |
| Duels won | 7.88 / 90 | 90% |
| Interceptions | 1.35 / 90 | 74% |
| Tackles | 2.25 / 90 | 63% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Attacking full-back Full-back
- ★★★★½ Two-way wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★★ Complete wing-back Wing-back
Scout's notes: Crosser, Dribbler, Duel winner.
- What Djibril Ouziad is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Djibril Ouziad's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Le Havre vs Lorient prediction
Le Havre should have more of the ball; Le Havre work the ball wide and cross; Lorient are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals - 1.16 for Le Havre and 1.16 for Lorient - with over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams scoring at 48%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Le Havre 1-1 Lorient
Le Havre vs Lorient betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 35%
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 59% by the model, 2.32 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 8.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Ligue 1 previews
- Toulouse vs Troyes Sunday 25 October 2026
- Rennes vs Strasbourg Sunday 25 October 2026
- Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre Sunday 25 October 2026
- Auxerre vs Le Mans Sunday 25 October 2026
- Angers SCO vs Lorient Sunday 25 October 2026
- Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain Friday 30 October 2026
- LOSC Lille vs Lens Friday 30 October 2026
- Nice vs Rennes Saturday 31 October 2026
Le Havre vs Lorient: questions and answers
When is Le Havre vs Lorient?
Le Havre vs Lorient is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 16:15 UTC, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 10.
Where is Le Havre vs Lorient played?
At Stade Océane, Le Havre, Le Havre's home ground.
Who will win Le Havre vs Lorient?
It is close: Le Havre 35%, draw 30%, Lorient 35%. Our prediction is Le Havre 1-1 Lorient.
Who is the player to watch in Le Havre vs Lorient?
Djibril Ouziad of Le Havre: a complete wing-back with a Moneyball Score of 62 against every wing-back in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Le Havre vs Lorient?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 41%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.