Lommel SK vs Gent Prediction and Betting Tips | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10
Belgian Pro League · Sunday 1 November 2026 · 17:30 UTC · Soevereinstadion, Lommel · updated 2026-10-25
Lommel SK welcome Gent to Soevereinstadion in Lommel in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10 action on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC.
Lommel SK have played 9 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 goals a game and winning 33% of them. At home they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 33% win rate. Gent have played 8 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.9 and conceding 0.5 goals a game and winning 88% of them. Away from home they average 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 43% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Gent are narrow favourites at 50%, with the draw at 28% and Lommel SK at 22%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Lommel SK 0.89, Gent 1.48.
- Over 2.5 goals: 42% · both teams to score: 46%.
- Most likely score: 0–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 8 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Lommel SK: form and key numbers
In style Lommel SK play long and direct, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.10 a match created, 1.85 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.1).
- Shots: 11.1 a match, 3.3 on target.
- Possession: 46.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 33% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.88.
Gent: form and key numbers
In style Gent play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.50 a match created, 0.88 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.0).
- Shots: 12.5 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 46.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.96.
Lommel SK vs Gent: season averages side by side
| Lommel SK | Per match this season | Gent |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 8 |
| 1.2 | Goals scored | 1.9 |
| 1.2 | Goals conceded | 0.5 |
| 1.10 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.50 |
| 1.85 | xG conceded | 0.88 |
| 11.1 | Shots | 12.5 |
| 3.3 | On target | 5.3 |
| 46.2 | Possession % | 46.8 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 50% |
| 33% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 3.9 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 1.1 | Yellow cards | 1.5 |
| 6.88 | Average rating | 6.96 |
Players to watch
Lommel SK
- Matthias Pieklak GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 59 · Secure passer, Box defender (top 34% of his position)
- Shawn Adewoye CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 56 · Reads the game, Ball-winner (top 5% of his position)
Gent
- Tibe De Vlieger CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 57 · Ball-winner, Press-resistant (top 11% of his position)
- José Mendieta CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 53 · Dominant in the air, Takes high-quality shots (top 15% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Mathias Delorge
Mathias Delorge, 22 · Gent · CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 65
Mathias Delorge, 22, plays as a central midfielder for Gent in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in long balls and interceptions. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 65
- DM · Defensive midfielder Natural, 60
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Long balls | 7.18 / 90 | 99% |
| Interceptions | 2.46 / 90 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 78% |
| Key passes | 1.89 / 90 | 74% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.18 / 90 | 64% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★ Ball-winning midfielder Central midfielder
- ★★★½ Deep-lying playmaker Defensive midfielder
- ★★★½ Playmaker Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Long passer, Reads the game.
- What Mathias Delorge is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Mathias Delorge's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Lommel SK vs Gent prediction
Gent should have more of the ball; Lommel SK like to take players on; Gent are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals - 0.89 for Lommel SK and 1.48 for Gent - with over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams scoring at 46%. Gent have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Lommel SK 0-2 Gent
Lommel SK vs Gent betting tips
- Tip 1: Gent win or draw (double chance) 78% between them
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 58% by the model, 2.37 goals expected
- Tip 3: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.6 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 8.4 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Belgian Pro League previews
- Club Brugge vs Sint-Truiden Sunday 25 October 2026
- Gent vs Anderlecht Sunday 25 October 2026
- Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge Sunday 25 October 2026
- Zulte-Waregem vs Club Brugge Friday 30 October 2026
- Mechelen vs Genk Saturday 31 October 2026
- Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk Saturday 31 October 2026
- SK Beveren vs Union Saint-Gilloise Saturday 31 October 2026
- Anderlecht vs Westerlo Saturday 31 October 2026
Lommel SK vs Gent: questions and answers
When is Lommel SK vs Gent?
Lommel SK vs Gent is on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10.
Where is Lommel SK vs Gent played?
At Soevereinstadion, Lommel, Lommel SK's home ground.
Who will win Lommel SK vs Gent?
Gent are the favourites: Lommel SK 22%, draw 28%, Gent 50%. Our prediction is Lommel SK 0-2 Gent.
Who is the player to watch in Lommel SK vs Gent?
Mathias Delorge of Gent: a ball-winning midfielder with a Moneyball Score of 65 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Lommel SK vs Gent?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.