Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United Prediction and Betting Tips
Major League Soccer · Sunday 1 November 2026 · updated 2026-11-01
Los Angeles FC welcome Minnesota United to BMO Stadium in Los Angeles in Major League Soccer action on Sunday 1 November 2026.
Los Angeles FC have played 32 matches in Major League Soccer this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 38% of them. At home they average 1.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded over 16 matches, with a 75% win rate. Minnesota United have played 32 matches in Major League Soccer this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 28% of them. Away from home they average 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 16 matches, with a 56% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Los Angeles FC are narrow favourites at 52%, with the draw at 24% and Minnesota United at 23%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (12.1% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Los Angeles FC -0.75 at 1.81, Minnesota United at 1.92. The main goals line is 3: over 1.70, under 2.00, which gives over 54%.
Los Angeles FC: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.55 a match created, 1.50 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.4).
- Shots: 14.6 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 46.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 41% of matches (62% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.91.
Minnesota United: form and key numbers
In style Minnesota United are happy without the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.75 a match created, 1.62 conceded (goals minus xG: -5.9).
- Shots: 14.1 a match, 5.1 on target.
- Possession: 46.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 19% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 72% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.9 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.82.
Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United: season averages side by side
| Los Angeles FC | Per match | Minnesota United |
|---|---|---|
| 1.55 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.75 |
| 1.50 | xG conceded | 1.62 |
| 1.56 | Goals | 1.56 |
| 14.6 | Shots | 14.1 |
| 4.7 | Shots on target | 5.1 |
| 1.3 | Big chances missed | 1.8 |
| 49.1 | Pressure share % | 59.7 |
| 15.0 | Tackles | 15.1 |
| 10.8 | Fouls | 12.5 |
| 1.7 | Yellow cards | 1.9 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 32 and 32 measured matches.
Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Los Angeles FC have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of the last 5 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Los Angeles FC 5, Minnesota United 2 - 1.4 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Minnesota United 0-1 Los Angeles FC (April 25th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 5 meetings Los Angeles FC won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | Minnesota United | 0 – 1 | Los Angeles FC |
| 17 Jul 2025 | Minnesota United | 0 – 1 | Los Angeles FC |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Los Angeles FC | 1 – 0 | Minnesota United |
| 30 May 2024 | Los Angeles FC | 2 – 0 | Minnesota United |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Minnesota United | 2 – 0 | Los Angeles FC |
Players to watch
Los Angeles FC
- Leo Walta AMF · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 40 · Big-chance creator, Creator (top 15% of his position)
- Heung-min Son LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 40 · High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions (top 17% of his position)
Minnesota United
- Kelvin Yeboah CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 41 · Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions (top 4% of his position)
- Joaquín Pereyra CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 37 · Creator, Chance creator (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Denis Bouanga
Denis Bouanga, 31 · Los Angeles FC · LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 43
Denis Bouanga, 31, plays as a winger for Los Angeles FC in the MLS. Strongest for his role in expected goals and shots. Weakest in fouls won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 43
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 40
- ST · Centre-forward Accomplished, 35
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.45 / 90 | 89% |
| Shots | 3.30 / 90 | 62% |
| Big chances created | 0.42 / 90 | 58% |
| Accurate crosses | 0.88 / 90 | 55% |
| Successful dribbles | 2.00 / 90 | 46% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★½ Inside forward Winger
- ★★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions.
- What Denis Bouanga is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Denis Bouanga's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United prediction
Los Angeles FC should have more of the ball; Minnesota United work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals - 2.06 for Los Angeles FC and 1.42 for Minnesota United - with over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams scoring at 67%. Los Angeles FC have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Los Angeles FC 2-1 Minnesota United
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United betting tips
- Tip 1: Los Angeles FC win or draw (double chance) 77% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 67% by the model, 3.48 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 67% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 11.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United: questions and answers
When is Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United?
Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United is on Sunday 1 November 2026, in Major League Soccer.
Where is Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United played?
At BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, Los Angeles FC's home ground.
Who will win Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United?
Los Angeles FC are the favourites: Los Angeles FC 52%, draw 24%, Minnesota United 23%. Our prediction is Los Angeles FC 2-1 Minnesota United.
Who is the player to watch in Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United?
Denis Bouanga of Los Angeles FC: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 43 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.