Olympiacos F.C. vs Sparta Praha: Prediction, Stats and Preview
Europa League · Thursday 22 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki, Piraeus · updated 2026-10-09
Olympiacos F.C. host Sparta Praha in the Europa League on Thursday 22 October 2026 at Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes Olympiacos F.C. favourites at 45%, puts the draw at 29% and expects about 2.3 goals.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Olympiacos F.C. 1.36, Sparta Praha 0.95.
- Over 2.5 goals: 41% · both teams to score: 46%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (14%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (2 and 2 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Season statistics
| Olympiacos F.C. | Per match this season | Sparta Praha |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Matches | 2 |
| 0.5 | Goals scored | 1.0 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 0.85 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.97 |
| 10.5 | Shots | 7.5 |
| 3.5 | On target | 2.0 |
| 50.0 | Possession % | 48.0 |
| 50% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 4.5 | Corners | 3.5 |
| 3.0 | Yellow cards | 1.5 |
| 6.73 | Average rating | 6.59 |
Averages per match from Sportmonks; Olympiacos F.C. in its domestic league; Sparta Praha in its domestic league.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Europa League previews
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- Lech Poznań vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Thursday 15 October 2026
- Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace Thursday 15 October 2026
- Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm Thursday 15 October 2026
- Celje vs Omonia Nicosia Thursday 15 October 2026
- Salzburg vs AC Milan Thursday 15 October 2026
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.