Paris FC vs AS Monaco Prediction and Betting Tips | Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Ligue 1 · Sunday 1 November 2026 · updated 2026-11-01
Paris FC welcome AS Monaco to Stade Jean Bouin in Paris in Ligue 1 Gameweek 9 action on Sunday 1 November 2026.
Paris FC have played 8 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 4 matches, with a 75% win rate. AS Monaco have played 8 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.9 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, there is little to separate them: Paris FC 38%, the draw 28%, AS Monaco 34%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.3% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Paris FC 0 at 1.79, AS Monaco at 2.12. The main goals line is 2.5: over 1.83, under 2.05, which gives over 53%.
Paris FC: form and key numbers
In style Paris FC create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.66 a match created, 1.11 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.3).
- Shots: 13.3 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 50.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 38% of matches (67% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.5 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
AS Monaco: form and key numbers
In style AS Monaco take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.30 a match created, 1.37 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.6).
- Shots: 12.8 a match, 4.6 on target.
- Possession: 50.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 63% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.93.
Paris FC vs AS Monaco: season averages side by side
| Paris FC | Per match | AS Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| 1.66 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.30 |
| 1.11 | xG conceded | 1.37 |
| 1.63 | Goals | 1.38 |
| 13.3 | Shots | 12.8 |
| 4.5 | Shots on target | 4.6 |
| 1.0 | Big chances missed | 1.4 |
| 49.8 | Pressure share % | 53.3 |
| 18.0 | Tackles | 20.5 |
| 14.0 | Fouls | 12.5 |
| 2.3 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 8 and 8 measured matches.
Paris FC vs AS Monaco: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Paris FC have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0 of the last 2 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Paris FC 5, AS Monaco 1 - 3.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Paris FC 4-1 AS Monaco (April 10th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 2 meetings Paris FC won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr 2026 | Paris FC | 4 – 1 | AS Monaco |
| 1 Nov 2025 | AS Monaco | 0 – 1 | Paris FC |
Players to watch
Paris FC
- Pierre Lees-Melou DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 63 · Ball-winner, Long passer (top 9% of his position)
- Maxime Lopez DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 58 · Hard to dribble past, Secure passer (top 5% of his position)
AS Monaco
- Paris Brunner CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 60 · Gets into scoring positions, Clinical finisher (top 17% of his position)
- Nazinho LB · Inverted full-back · Moneyball Score 56 · Reads the game, Chance creator (top 9% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Lassine Sinayoko
Lassine Sinayoko, 26 · Paris · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 72
Lassine Sinayoko, 26, plays as a centre-forward for Paris in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in key passes and shot quality (xG per shot). Weakest in aerial duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 72
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 69
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 62
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Key passes | 2.05 / 90 | 93% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 xG/shot | 88% |
| Expected goals | 0.68 / 90 | 84% |
| Goals | 0.77 / 90 | 76% |
| Big chances missed | 0.26 / 90 | 75% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Pressing forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Chance creator, Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions.
- What Lassine Sinayoko is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Lassine Sinayoko's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Paris FC vs AS Monaco prediction
Paris FC should have more of the ball; AS Monaco like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals - 1.46 for Paris FC and 1.05 for AS Monaco - with over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 51%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Paris FC 1-1 AS Monaco
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Paris FC vs AS Monaco betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 38%
- Tip 2: Under 2.5 goals 54% by the model, 2.51 goals expected
- Tip 3: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.5 cards a match between them
- Tip 4: Under 10.5 corners 7.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Paris FC vs AS Monaco in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Paris FC vs AS Monaco: questions and answers
When is Paris FC vs AS Monaco?
Paris FC vs AS Monaco is on Sunday 1 November 2026, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 9.
Where is Paris FC vs AS Monaco played?
At Stade Jean Bouin, Paris, Paris FC's home ground.
Who will win Paris FC vs AS Monaco?
It is close: Paris FC 38%, draw 28%, AS Monaco 34%. Our prediction is Paris FC 1-1 AS Monaco.
Who is the player to watch in Paris FC vs AS Monaco?
Lassine Sinayoko of Paris: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 72 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Paris FC vs AS Monaco?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.