Paris Saint Germain vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction and Betting Tips | Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Ligue 1 · Sunday 25 October 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Parc des Princes, Paris · updated 2026-10-11
Paris Saint Germain welcome Olympique Lyonnais to Parc des Princes in Paris in Ligue 1 Gameweek 8 action on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Paris Saint Germain have played 6 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 50% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 2 matches, with a 33% win rate. Olympique Lyonnais have played 6 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.7 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Paris Saint Germain 41%, the draw 26%, Olympique Lyonnais 33%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Paris Saint Germain 1.56, Olympique Lyonnais 1.37.
- Over 2.5 goals: 56% · both teams to score: 60%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (6 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Paris Saint Germain: form and key numbers
In style Paris Saint Germain keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 2.43 a match created, 1.09 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.6).
- Shots: 21.3 a match, 7.3 on target.
- Possession: 67.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 83% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.7 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.00.
Olympique Lyonnais: form and key numbers
In style Olympique Lyonnais play long and direct, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.80 a match created, 1.08 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.2).
- Shots: 13.3 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 52.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 50% of matches (67% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.7 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.92.
Paris Saint Germain vs Olympique Lyonnais: season averages side by side
| Paris Saint Germain | Per match this season | Olympique Lyonnais |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Matches | 6 |
| 1.8 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 1.3 | Goals conceded | 0.7 |
| 2.43 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.80 |
| 1.09 | xG conceded | 1.08 |
| 21.3 | Shots | 13.3 |
| 7.3 | On target | 5.0 |
| 67.2 | Possession % | 52.3 |
| 17% | Clean sheets % | 50% |
| 83% | Both teams scored % | 50% |
| 5.7 | Corners | 4.8 |
| 1.2 | Yellow cards | 1.7 |
| 7.00 | Average rating | 6.92 |
Players to watch
Paris Saint Germain
- Fabián Ruiz CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 72 · Press-resistant, Creator (top 3% of his position)
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 67 · High shot volume, Chance creator (top 9% of his position)
Olympique Lyonnais
- Dominik Greif GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 73 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 3% of his position)
- Ernest Nuamah RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 65 · Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Désiré Doué
Désiré Doué, 21 · Paris Saint Germain · RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 74
Désiré Doué, 21, plays as a winger for Paris Saint Germain in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in shots and expected goals. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 74
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 70
- RM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 69
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shots | 4.50 / 90 | 94% |
| Expected goals | 0.55 / 90 | 93% |
| Successful dribbles | 3.66 / 90 | 91% |
| Fouls won | 2.81 / 90 | 89% |
| Key passes | 2.81 / 90 | 83% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Inside forward Winger
- ★★★★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions, Dribbler.
- What Désiré Doué is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Désiré Doué's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Paris Saint Germain vs Olympique Lyonnais prediction
Paris Saint Germain should have more of the ball; Paris Saint Germain like to take players on; Olympique Lyonnais go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.56 for Paris Saint Germain and 1.37 for Olympique Lyonnais - with over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 60%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Paris Saint Germain 1-1 Olympique Lyonnais
Paris Saint Germain vs Olympique Lyonnais betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 41%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 56% by the model, 2.93 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 60% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 2.8 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 9.5 corners 10.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Ligue 1 previews
- Troyes vs Olympique Marseille Sunday 11 October 2026
- Le Mans vs Toulouse Friday 16 October 2026
- Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain Saturday 17 October 2026
- Troyes vs Lens Saturday 17 October 2026
- LOSC Lille vs Brest Saturday 17 October 2026
- Angers SCO vs Olympique Marseille Sunday 18 October 2026
- Paris vs Rennes Sunday 18 October 2026
- Lorient vs Monaco Sunday 18 October 2026
Paris Saint Germain vs Olympique Lyonnais: questions and answers
When is Paris Saint Germain vs Olympique Lyonnais?
Paris Saint Germain vs Olympique Lyonnais is on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 8.
Where is Paris Saint Germain vs Olympique Lyonnais played?
At Parc des Princes, Paris, Paris Saint Germain's home ground.
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Olympique Lyonnais?
It is close: Paris Saint Germain 41%, draw 26%, Olympique Lyonnais 33%. Our prediction is Paris Saint Germain 1-1 Olympique Lyonnais.
Who is the player to watch in Paris Saint Germain vs Olympique Lyonnais?
Désiré Doué of Paris Saint Germain: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 74 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Paris Saint Germain vs Olympique Lyonnais?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Tags
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