Racing Santander vs Espanyol Prediction and Betting Tips | La Liga Gameweek 10
La Liga · Saturday 24 October 2026 · 14:15 UTC · Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, Santander · updated 2026-10-17
Racing Santander welcome Espanyol to Campos de Sport de El Sardinero in Santander in La Liga Gameweek 10 action on Saturday 24 October 2026, kick-off 14:15 UTC.
Racing Santander have played 8 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.9 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 2.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 4 matches, with a 100% win rate. Espanyol have played 9 matches in La Liga this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 22% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Espanyol are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 24% and Racing Santander at 31%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Racing Santander 1.44, Espanyol 1.75.
- Over 2.5 goals: 62% · both teams to score: 64%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (11%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (8 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Racing Santander: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.33 a match created, 2.13 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.3).
- Shots: 11.5 a match, 4.9 on target.
- Possession: 48.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.8 a match.
- Discipline: 2.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.67.
Espanyol: form and key numbers
In style Espanyol are happy without the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.32 a match created, 1.17 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.9).
- Shots: 12.7 a match, 3.7 on target.
- Possession: 46.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 2.3 a match.
- Discipline: 3.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.73.
Racing Santander vs Espanyol: season averages side by side
| Racing Santander | Per match this season | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Matches | 9 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 2.9 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 1.33 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.32 |
| 2.13 | xG conceded | 1.17 |
| 11.5 | Shots | 12.7 |
| 4.9 | On target | 3.7 |
| 48.8 | Possession % | 46.3 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 22% |
| 75% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 4.8 | Corners | 2.3 |
| 2.6 | Yellow cards | 3.1 |
| 6.67 | Average rating | 6.73 |
Players to watch
Racing Santander
- Iñigo Vicente LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 59 · Chance creator, Creator (top 1% of his position)
- Pablo Ramón CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 58 · Ball-winner, Duel winner (top 4% of his position)
Espanyol
- Roberto Fernández CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 60 · Takes high-quality shots, Clinical finisher (top 8% of his position)
- Edu Expósito CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 60 · Dribbler, Creator (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Yassir Zabiri
Yassir Zabiri, 21 · Racing Santander · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 63
Yassir Zabiri, 21, plays as a centre-forward for Racing Santander in La Liga. Strongest for his role in goals and big chances missed. Weakest in aerial duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 63
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 / 90 | 98% |
| Big chances missed | 0.00 / 90 | 95% |
| Shots on target | 65% | 92% |
| Expected goals | 0.62 / 90 | 79% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 xG/shot | 76% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: Clinical finisher, Rarely wastes a big chance, Accurate shooter.
⚠ 7 goals from only 3.3 xG: finishing this far above his chances rarely lasts: check it is not a one-season wonder.
- What Yassir Zabiri is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Yassir Zabiri's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Racing Santander vs Espanyol prediction
Racing Santander should have more of the ball. Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals - 1.44 for Racing Santander and 1.75 for Espanyol - with over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 64%. Espanyol have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Racing Santander 1-2 Espanyol
Racing Santander vs Espanyol betting tips
- Tip 1: Espanyol win or draw (double chance) 69% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 62% by the model, 3.19 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 64% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 7.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 7.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More La Liga previews
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- Deportivo Alavés vs Málaga Friday 23 October 2026
- Rayo Vallecano vs Elche Saturday 24 October 2026
- Valencia vs Villarreal Saturday 24 October 2026
- Atlético de Madrid vs Deportivo A Coruña Saturday 24 October 2026
- Athletic Club vs Getafe Sunday 25 October 2026
- Celta de Vigo vs Real Betis Sunday 25 October 2026
- Real Sociedad vs Levante Sunday 25 October 2026
Racing Santander vs Espanyol: questions and answers
When is Racing Santander vs Espanyol?
Racing Santander vs Espanyol is on Saturday 24 October 2026, kick-off 14:15 UTC, in La Liga Gameweek 10.
Where is Racing Santander vs Espanyol played?
At Campos de Sport de El Sardinero, Santander, Racing Santander's home ground.
Who will win Racing Santander vs Espanyol?
Espanyol are the favourites: Racing Santander 31%, draw 24%, Espanyol 44%. Our prediction is Racing Santander 1-2 Espanyol.
Who is the player to watch in Racing Santander vs Espanyol?
Yassir Zabiri of Racing Santander: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 63 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Racing Santander vs Espanyol?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.2 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 62%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.