RB Leipzig vs Elversberg Prediction and Betting Tips | Bundesliga Gameweek 7
Bundesliga · Saturday 24 October 2026 · 13:30 UTC · Red Bull Arena, Leipzig · updated 2026-10-17
RB Leipzig welcome Elversberg to Red Bull Arena in Leipzig in Bundesliga Gameweek 7 action on Saturday 24 October 2026, kick-off 13:30 UTC.
RB Leipzig have played 5 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 3.0 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 60% of them. At home they average 4.7 goals scored and 0.0 conceded over 3 matches, with a 100% win rate. Elversberg have played 6 matches in the Bundesliga this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 50% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 33% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, RB Leipzig are clear favourites at 65%, with the draw at 18% and Elversberg at 17%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: RB Leipzig 2.61, Elversberg 1.31.
- Over 2.5 goals: 75% · both teams to score: 68%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (5 and 6 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
RB Leipzig: form and key numbers
In style RB Leipzig keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.44 a match created, 1.16 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.8).
- Shots: 19.0 a match, 7.0 on target.
- Possession: 55.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 60% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 20% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.08.
Elversberg: form and key numbers
In style Elversberg are happy without the ball, are strong in the air, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.80 a match created, 1.99 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.2).
- Shots: 11.2 a match, 4.7 on target.
- Possession: 44.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.7 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
RB Leipzig vs Elversberg: season averages side by side
| RB Leipzig | Per match this season | Elversberg |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Matches | 6 |
| 3.0 | Goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 2.44 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.80 |
| 1.16 | xG conceded | 1.99 |
| 19.0 | Shots | 11.2 |
| 7.0 | On target | 4.7 |
| 55.6 | Possession % | 44.3 |
| 60% | Clean sheets % | 17% |
| 20% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 6.0 | Corners | 3.7 |
| 1.2 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 7.08 | Average rating | 6.79 |
Players to watch
RB Leipzig
- Christopher Nkunku CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 70 · Clinical finisher, Chance creator (top 8% of his position)
- Maarten Vandevoordt GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 69 · Shot-stopper, Secure passer (top 6% of his position)
Elversberg
- Nicolas Kristof GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 65 · Box defender, Dominant in the air (top 1% of his position)
- Maximilian Rohr CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 60 · Blocks shots, Dominant in the air (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Antonio Nusa
Antonio Nusa, 21 · RB Leipzig · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 74
Antonio Nusa, 21, plays as a winger for RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga. Strongest for his role in big chances created and expected assists (est.). Weakest in accurate crosses. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 74
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 70
- SS · Second striker Competent, 63
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Big chances created | 1.11 / 90 | 99% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.46 / 90 | 97% |
| Successful dribbles | 3.33 / 90 | 93% |
| Key passes | 2.44 / 90 | 84% |
| Fouls won | 2.00 / 90 | 74% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Big-chance creator, Creator, Dribbler.
- What Antonio Nusa is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Antonio Nusa's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
RB Leipzig vs Elversberg prediction
RB Leipzig should have more of the ball, with Elversberg likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; RB Leipzig work the ball wide and cross; Elversberg are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.9 goals - 2.61 for RB Leipzig and 1.31 for Elversberg - with over 2.5 goals at 75% and both teams scoring at 68%. RB Leipzig have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: RB Leipzig 2-1 Elversberg
RB Leipzig vs Elversberg betting tips
- Tip 1: RB Leipzig to win 65% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 75% by the model, 3.93 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 68% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.7 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
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RB Leipzig vs Elversberg: questions and answers
When is RB Leipzig vs Elversberg?
RB Leipzig vs Elversberg is on Saturday 24 October 2026, kick-off 13:30 UTC, in Bundesliga Gameweek 7.
Where is RB Leipzig vs Elversberg played?
At Red Bull Arena, Leipzig, RB Leipzig's home ground.
Who will win RB Leipzig vs Elversberg?
RB Leipzig are the favourites: RB Leipzig 65%, draw 18%, Elversberg 17%. Our prediction is RB Leipzig 2-1 Elversberg.
Who is the player to watch in RB Leipzig vs Elversberg?
Antonio Nusa of RB Leipzig: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 74 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in RB Leipzig vs Elversberg?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 75%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.