Rennes vs LOSC Lille Prediction and Betting Tips | Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Ligue 1 · Sunday 8 November 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Roazhon Park, Rennes · updated 2026-10-25
Rennes welcome LOSC Lille to Roazhon Park in Rennes in Ligue 1 Gameweek 10 action on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Rennes have played 7 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 2.1 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 57% of them. At home they average 2.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 75% win rate. LOSC Lille have played 7 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.7 goals a game and winning 57% of them. Away from home they average 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: Rennes 41%, the draw 24%, LOSC Lille 35%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Rennes 1.70, LOSC Lille 1.57.
- Over 2.5 goals: 63% · both teams to score: 65%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (7 and 7 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Rennes: form and key numbers
In style Rennes create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.99 a match created, 2.05 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.1).
- Shots: 16.3 a match, 6.3 on target.
- Possession: 51.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 14% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 71% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.85.
LOSC Lille: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.31 a match created, 1.50 conceded (goals minus xG: +0.8).
- Shots: 12.3 a match, 5.4 on target.
- Possession: 50.1% on average.
- Clean sheets: 57% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 43% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.90.
Rennes vs LOSC Lille: season averages side by side
| Rennes | Per match this season | LOSC Lille |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matches | 7 |
| 2.1 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 2.0 | Goals conceded | 0.7 |
| 1.99 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.31 |
| 2.05 | xG conceded | 1.50 |
| 16.3 | Shots | 12.3 |
| 6.3 | On target | 5.4 |
| 51.6 | Possession % | 50.1 |
| 14% | Clean sheets % | 57% |
| 71% | Both teams scored % | 43% |
| 5.9 | Corners | 3.3 |
| 2.4 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
| 6.85 | Average rating | 6.90 |
Players to watch
Rennes
- Ludovic Blas RMF · Wide playmaker · Moneyball Score 67 · Creator, Gets into scoring positions (top 3% of his position)
- Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 67 · Ball-winner, Reads the game (top 7% of his position)
LOSC Lille
- Ethan Mbappé RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 66 · Dribbler, Big-chance creator (top 20% of his position)
- Alexsandro CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 60 · Hard to dribble past, Box defender (top 2% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Estéban Lepaul
Estéban Lepaul, 26 · Rennes · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 72
Estéban Lepaul, 26, plays as a centre-forward for Rennes in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in expected goals and shots. Weakest in duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 72
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 62
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.99 / 90 | 96% |
| Shots | 4.64 / 90 | 94% |
| Goals | 1.16 / 90 | 93% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 xG/shot | 88% |
| Shots on target | 57% | 84% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★½ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume, Clinical finisher.
- What Estéban Lepaul is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Estéban Lepaul's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Rennes vs LOSC Lille prediction
Rennes should have more of the ball. Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals - 1.70 for Rennes and 1.57 for LOSC Lille - with over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 65%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: Rennes 1-1 LOSC Lille
Rennes vs LOSC Lille betting tips
- Tip 1: Draw or either side by one goal is the shape of it - avoid the result market no side above 41%
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 63% by the model, 3.27 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 65% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Ligue 1 previews
- Toulouse vs Troyes Sunday 25 October 2026
- Rennes vs Strasbourg Sunday 25 October 2026
- Olympique Marseille vs Le Havre Sunday 25 October 2026
- Auxerre vs Le Mans Sunday 25 October 2026
- Angers SCO vs Lorient Sunday 25 October 2026
- Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain Friday 30 October 2026
- LOSC Lille vs Lens Friday 30 October 2026
- Nice vs Rennes Saturday 31 October 2026
Rennes vs LOSC Lille: questions and answers
When is Rennes vs LOSC Lille?
Rennes vs LOSC Lille is on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 10.
Where is Rennes vs LOSC Lille played?
At Roazhon Park, Rennes, Rennes's home ground.
Who will win Rennes vs LOSC Lille?
It is close: Rennes 41%, draw 24%, LOSC Lille 35%. Our prediction is Rennes 1-1 LOSC Lille.
Who is the player to watch in Rennes vs LOSC Lille?
Estéban Lepaul of Rennes: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 72 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Rennes vs LOSC Lille?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.3 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.