Rennes vs OFI: Prediction, Stats and Preview
Europa League · Thursday 15 October 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Roazhon Park, Rennes · updated 2026-10-09
Rennes host OFI in the Europa League on Thursday 15 October 2026 at Roazhon Park. On this season's numbers, Moneyball's model makes OFI favourites at 55%, puts the draw at 26% and expects about 2.6 goals.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Rennes 0.90, OFI 1.68.
- Over 2.5 goals: 48% · both teams to score: 49%.
- Most likely score: 1–1 (12%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (5 and 3 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
The difference-maker: Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal, 20 · Rennes · CB · Stopper
Moneyball Scout picks Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal as the player most likely to decide this match, with a Moneyball Score of 67 against every centre-back in Europe's top five leagues (attacking 44, defensive 67).
- Tackles: 3.33 per 90 minutes, better than 94% of centre-backs
- Interceptions: 2.33 per 90 minutes, better than 87% of centre-backs
- Duels won: 6.67 per 90 minutes, better than 85% of centre-backs
OFI score 2.3 goals a match this season from 0.89 expected: stopping them runs through Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal.
Scout's notes: Ball-winner, Reads the game, Duel winner.
What he is worth on the market, how many league points he would add to another club and who could replace him: Moneyball Scouting Players Research.
Season statistics
| Rennes | Per match this season | OFI |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Matches | 3 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 2.3 |
| 1.8 | Goals conceded | 0.0 |
| 1.73 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.89 |
| 2.04 | xG conceded | – |
| 16.2 | Shots | 10.3 |
| 5.4 | On target | 4.7 |
| 51.0 | Possession % | 40.7 |
| 20% | Clean sheets % | 100% |
| 60% | Both teams scored % | 0% |
| 5.0 | Corners | 3.3 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.0 |
| 6.83 | Average rating | 6.91 |
Averages per match from Sportmonks; Rennes in its domestic league.
Players to watch
Rennes
- Anthony Rouault defender · rating 7.31 · 2 apps
- Valentin Rongier midfielder · rating 7.30 · 5 apps
- Estéban Lepaul forward · rating 7.20 · 5 apps
The best-rated players of each side this season, with 180 minutes or more.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Europa League previews
- AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva Thursday 15 October 2026
- Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad Thursday 15 October 2026
- Torreense vs Sunderland Thursday 15 October 2026
- Lech Poznań vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Thursday 15 October 2026
- Olympique Lyonnais vs Crystal Palace Thursday 15 October 2026
- Sparta Praha vs Lillestrøm Thursday 15 October 2026
- Celje vs Omonia Nicosia Thursday 15 October 2026
- Salzburg vs AC Milan Thursday 15 October 2026
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.