Rennes vs Strasbourg Prediction and Betting Tips | Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Ligue 1 · Sunday 25 October 2026 · 16:15 UTC · Roazhon Park, Rennes · updated 2026-10-11
Rennes welcome Strasbourg to Roazhon Park in Rennes in Ligue 1 Gameweek 8 action on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 16:15 UTC.
Rennes have played 5 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.8 goals a game and winning 60% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 3 matches, with a 67% win rate. Strasbourg have played 5 matches in Ligue 1 this season, scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 40% of them. Away from home they average 2.3 goals scored and 2.7 conceded over 3 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Rennes are narrow favourites at 48%, with the draw at 22% and Strasbourg at 30%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Rennes 2.13, Strasbourg 1.68.
- Over 2.5 goals: 73% · both teams to score: 72%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (5 and 5 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Rennes: form and key numbers
In style Rennes cross a lot, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.73 a match created, 2.04 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.6).
- Shots: 16.2 a match, 5.4 on target.
- Possession: 51.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 20% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 60% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.83.
Strasbourg: form and key numbers
In style Strasbourg take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.31 a match created, 2.09 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.5).
- Shots: 11.6 a match, 4.8 on target.
- Possession: 46.4% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 80% of their matches.
- Corners: 1.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.6 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.76.
Rennes vs Strasbourg: season averages side by side
| Rennes | Per match this season | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Matches | 5 |
| 1.6 | Goals scored | 2.0 |
| 1.8 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 1.73 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.31 |
| 2.04 | xG conceded | 2.09 |
| 16.2 | Shots | 11.6 |
| 5.4 | On target | 4.8 |
| 51.0 | Possession % | 46.4 |
| 20% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 60% | Both teams scored % | 80% |
| 5.0 | Corners | 1.8 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.6 |
| 6.83 | Average rating | 6.76 |
Players to watch
Rennes
- Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 68 · Ball-winner, Reads the game (top 6% of his position)
- Przemyslaw Frankowski RB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 62 · Creator, Chance creator (top 5% of his position)
Strasbourg
- Filip Jørgensen GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 71 · Box defender, Long passer (top 10% of his position)
- Pape Demba Diop CMF · Ball-winning midfielder · Moneyball Score 64 · Press-resistant, Ball-winner (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Gessime Yassine
Gessime Yassine, 20 · Strasbourg · RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 65
Gessime Yassine, 20, plays as a winger for Strasbourg in Ligue 1. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and fouls won. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- RW · Winger Natural, 65
- LW · Winger Accomplished, 61
- RM · Wide midfielder Competent, 55
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 3.72 / 90 | 97% |
| Fouls won | 3.10 / 90 | 96% |
| Big chances created | 0.83 / 90 | 90% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.30 / 90 | 79% |
| Expected goals | 0.27 / 90 | 67% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★★★½ Pressing forward Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Dribbler, Draws fouls, Big-chance creator.
- What Gessime Yassine is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Gessime Yassine's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Rennes vs Strasbourg prediction
Rennes should have more of the ball, with Strasbourg likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Rennes work the ball wide and cross; Strasbourg like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals - 2.13 for Rennes and 1.68 for Strasbourg - with over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring at 72%. Rennes have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Rennes 2-1 Strasbourg
Rennes vs Strasbourg betting tips
- Tip 1: Rennes win or draw (double chance) 70% between them
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 73% by the model, 3.81 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 72% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 4.4 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Under 10.5 corners 6.8 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Ligue 1 previews
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- Le Mans vs Toulouse Friday 16 October 2026
- Strasbourg vs Paris Saint Germain Saturday 17 October 2026
- Troyes vs Lens Saturday 17 October 2026
- LOSC Lille vs Brest Saturday 17 October 2026
- Angers SCO vs Olympique Marseille Sunday 18 October 2026
- Paris vs Rennes Sunday 18 October 2026
- Lorient vs Monaco Sunday 18 October 2026
Rennes vs Strasbourg: questions and answers
When is Rennes vs Strasbourg?
Rennes vs Strasbourg is on Sunday 25 October 2026, kick-off 16:15 UTC, in Ligue 1 Gameweek 8.
Where is Rennes vs Strasbourg played?
At Roazhon Park, Rennes, Rennes's home ground.
Who will win Rennes vs Strasbourg?
Rennes are the favourites: Rennes 48%, draw 22%, Strasbourg 30%. Our prediction is Rennes 2-1 Strasbourg.
Who is the player to watch in Rennes vs Strasbourg?
Gessime Yassine of Strasbourg: a inside forward with a Moneyball Score of 65 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Rennes vs Strasbourg?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 73%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.