Sassuolo vs Napoli Prediction and Stats | Serie A Gameweek 13
Serie A · Sunday 29 November 2026 · 14:00 UTC · MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia · updated 2026-11-15
Sassuolo welcome Napoli to MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore in Reggio Emilia in Serie A Gameweek 13 action on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Sassuolo have played 11 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.6 goals a game and winning 18% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 2.8 conceded over 5 matches, with a 100% win rate. Napoli have played 11 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 36% of them. Away from home they average 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 6 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Napoli are narrow favourites at 52%, with the draw at 22% and Sassuolo at 25%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Sassuolo 1.39, Napoli 2.05.
- Over 2.5 goals: 67% · both teams to score: 66%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Sassuolo: form and key numbers
In style Sassuolo are happy without the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.27 a match created, 1.94 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.1).
- Shots: 12.6 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 46.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 82% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.70.
Napoli: form and key numbers
In style Napoli cross a lot, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.79 a match created, 1.39 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.7).
- Shots: 15.6 a match, 5.6 on target.
- Possession: 52.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 27% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 55% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.1 yellow cards a match, 2.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.87.
Sassuolo vs Napoli: season averages side by side
| Sassuolo | Per match this season | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.4 | Goals scored | 1.6 |
| 2.6 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 1.27 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.79 |
| 1.94 | xG conceded | 1.39 |
| 12.6 | Shots | 15.6 |
| 4.5 | On target | 5.6 |
| 46.6 | Possession % | 52.3 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 27% |
| 82% | Both teams scored % | 55% |
| 3.8 | Corners | 5.4 |
| 1.4 | Yellow cards | 1.1 |
| 6.70 | Average rating | 6.87 |
Players to watch
Sassuolo
- Nemanja Matić DMF · Deep-lying playmaker · Moneyball Score 58 · Hard to dribble past, Disciplined (top 6% of his position)
- Armand Laurienté LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 56 · High shot volume, Draws fouls (top 14% of his position)
Napoli
- Amir Rrahmani CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 73 · Dominant in the air, Duel winner (top 4% of his position)
- Rafa Marín CB · Ball-playing centre-back · Moneyball Score 60 · Ball-winner, Long passer (top 9% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Kevin De Bruyne
Kevin De Bruyne, 35 · Napoli · AMF · Creator · Moneyball Score 63
Kevin De Bruyne, 35, plays as an attacking midfielder for Napoli in Serie A. Strongest for his role in through balls and key passes. Weakest in successful dribbles. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average attacking midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Natural, 63
- RM · Wide midfielder Accomplished, 59
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 59
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Through balls | 0.14 / 90 | 99% |
| Key passes | 3.32 / 90 | 98% |
| Dispossessed | 0.72 / 90 | 92% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.31 / 90 | 91% |
| Big chances created | 0.29 / 90 | 72% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Creator Attacking midfielder
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Playmaker Central midfielder
Scout's notes: Through-ball threat, Chance creator, Press-resistant.
- What Kevin De Bruyne is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Kevin De Bruyne's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Sassuolo vs Napoli prediction
Napoli should have more of the ball, with Sassuolo likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Napoli work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals - 1.39 for Sassuolo and 2.05 for Napoli - with over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams scoring at 66%. Napoli have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Sassuolo 1-2 Napoli
Sassuolo vs Napoli: what the numbers say
- 1. Napoli unbeaten (win or draw) 75% between them
- 2. 3 or more goals 67% by the model, 3.44 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 66% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 5.5 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 9.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Serie A previews
- Lazio vs Lecce Saturday 21 November 2026
- Como vs Cagliari Saturday 21 November 2026
- Parma vs Roma Saturday 21 November 2026
- Napoli vs Torino Saturday 21 November 2026
- Juventus vs Venezia Sunday 22 November 2026
- Sassuolo vs Genoa Sunday 22 November 2026
- Bologna vs Udinese Sunday 22 November 2026
- AC Milan vs Frosinone Sunday 22 November 2026
Sassuolo vs Napoli: questions and answers
When is Sassuolo vs Napoli?
Sassuolo vs Napoli is on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC, in Serie A Gameweek 13.
Where is Sassuolo vs Napoli played?
At MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia, Sassuolo's home ground.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Napoli?
Napoli are the favourites: Sassuolo 25%, draw 22%, Napoli 52%. Our prediction is Sassuolo 1-2 Napoli.
Who is the player to watch in Sassuolo vs Napoli?
Kevin De Bruyne of Napoli: a creator with a Moneyball Score of 63 against every attacking midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Sassuolo vs Napoli?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.