Sporting Charleroi vs La Louvière Prediction and Betting Tips | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10
Belgian Pro League · Sunday 1 November 2026 · 18:15 UTC · Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi · updated 2026-10-25
Sporting Charleroi welcome La Louvière to Stade du Pays de Charleroi in Charleroi in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10 action on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 18:15 UTC.
Sporting Charleroi have played 9 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 78% of them. At home they average 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 43% win rate. La Louvière have played 9 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.0 goals a game and winning 22% of them. Away from home they average 0.3 goals scored and 2.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Sporting Charleroi are clear favourites at 69%, with the draw at 18% and La Louvière at 13%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Sporting Charleroi 2.44, La Louvière 0.97.
- Over 2.5 goals: 66% · both teams to score: 57%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Sporting Charleroi: form and key numbers
In style Sporting Charleroi keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 2.09 a match created, 1.07 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.8).
- Shots: 17.0 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 56.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 44% of matches (25% at home).
- Both teams scored in 44% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.99.
La Louvière: form and key numbers
In style La Louvière are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.28 a match created, 2.10 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.6).
- Shots: 11.4 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 37.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 44% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match, 3.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.69.
Sporting Charleroi vs La Louvière: season averages side by side
| Sporting Charleroi | Per match this season | La Louvière |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 9 |
| 1.8 | Goals scored | 1.2 |
| 1.1 | Goals conceded | 2.0 |
| 2.09 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.28 |
| 1.07 | xG conceded | 2.10 |
| 17.0 | Shots | 11.4 |
| 5.8 | On target | 4.0 |
| 56.8 | Possession % | 37.9 |
| 44% | Clean sheets % | 22% |
| 44% | Both teams scored % | 44% |
| 5.6 | Corners | 3.4 |
| 1.3 | Yellow cards | 2.3 |
| 6.99 | Average rating | 6.69 |
Players to watch
Sporting Charleroi
- Patrick Pflücke RMF · Wide playmaker · Moneyball Score 54 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 7% of his position)
- Yassine Khalifi CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 52 · Long passer, Press-resistant (top 6% of his position)
La Louvière
- Zsombor Gruber WF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 51 · Crosser, Dribbler (top 5% of his position)
- Marcos Peano GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 51 · Box defender, Dominant in the air (top 32% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Aurélien Scheidler
Aurélien Scheidler, 28 · Sporting Charleroi · CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 63
Aurélien Scheidler, 28, plays as a centre-forward for Sporting Charleroi in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in aerial duels won and shot quality (xG per shot). Weakest in goals. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 63
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 56
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Aerial duels won | 5.69 / 90 | 95% |
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 xG/shot | 90% |
| Duels won | 8.06 / 90 | 85% |
| Expected goals | 0.67 / 90 | 76% |
| Key passes | 1.25 / 90 | 52% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Target man Centre-forward
- ★★★★ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★½ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Dominant in the air, Takes high-quality shots, Duel winner.
- What Aurélien Scheidler is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Aurélien Scheidler's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Sporting Charleroi vs La Louvière prediction
Sporting Charleroi should have more of the ball, with La Louvière likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals - 2.44 for Sporting Charleroi and 0.97 for La Louvière - with over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams scoring at 57%. Sporting Charleroi have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Sporting Charleroi 2-1 La Louvière
Sporting Charleroi vs La Louvière betting tips
- Tip 1: Sporting Charleroi to win 69% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 66% by the model, 3.41 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 57% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 6.7 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Belgian Pro League previews
- Club Brugge vs Sint-Truiden Sunday 25 October 2026
- Gent vs Anderlecht Sunday 25 October 2026
- Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge Sunday 25 October 2026
- Zulte-Waregem vs Club Brugge Friday 30 October 2026
- Mechelen vs Genk Saturday 31 October 2026
- Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk Saturday 31 October 2026
- SK Beveren vs Union Saint-Gilloise Saturday 31 October 2026
- Anderlecht vs Westerlo Saturday 31 October 2026
Sporting Charleroi vs La Louvière: questions and answers
When is Sporting Charleroi vs La Louvière?
Sporting Charleroi vs La Louvière is on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 18:15 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 10.
Where is Sporting Charleroi vs La Louvière played?
At Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi, Sporting Charleroi's home ground.
Who will win Sporting Charleroi vs La Louvière?
Sporting Charleroi are the favourites: Sporting Charleroi 69%, draw 18%, La Louvière 13%. Our prediction is Sporting Charleroi 2-1 La Louvière.
Who is the player to watch in Sporting Charleroi vs La Louvière?
Aurélien Scheidler of Sporting Charleroi: a target man with a Moneyball Score of 63 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Charleroi vs La Louvière?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 66%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.