Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace Prediction and Betting Tips
Premier League · Sunday 1 November 2026 · updated 2026-10-26
Tottenham Hotspur welcome Crystal Palace to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London in Premier League action on Sunday 1 November 2026.
Tottenham Hotspur have played 8 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate. Crystal Palace have played 8 matches in the Premier League this season, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.4 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 0.8 goals scored and 2.3 conceded over 4 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out, Tottenham Hotspur are clear favourites at 61%, with the draw at 22% and Crystal Palace at 17%.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.6% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Tottenham Hotspur -1 at 1.90, Crystal Palace at 2.00. The main goals line is 3: over 1.99, under 1.89, which gives over 49%.
Tottenham Hotspur: form and key numbers
In style Tottenham Hotspur keep the ball, press high, take players on.
- Expected goals: 1.10 a match created, 1.34 conceded (goals minus xG: -0.8).
- Shots: 14.3 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 60.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 38% of matches (33% at home).
- Both teams scored in 38% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.80.
Crystal Palace: form and key numbers
In style Crystal Palace are happy without the ball.
- Expected goals: 1.26 a match created, 2.17 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.1).
- Shots: 11.0 a match, 3.8 on target.
- Possession: 44.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 13% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.5 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.71.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace: season averages side by side
| Tottenham Hotspur | Per match | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| 1.10 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.26 |
| 1.34 | xG conceded | 2.17 |
| 1.00 | Goals | 1.13 |
| 14.3 | Shots | 11.0 |
| 3.9 | Shots on target | 3.8 |
| 1.6 | Big chances missed | 1.9 |
| 59.7 | Pressure share % | 33.1 |
| 18.0 | Tackles | 20.8 |
| 13.9 | Fouls | 10.3 |
| 1.5 | Yellow cards | 1.5 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 8 and 8 measured matches.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace: head-to-head stats and key numbers
- Tottenham Hotspur have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 3 of the last 4 meetings in our data.
- Goals in those games: Tottenham Hotspur 2, Crystal Palace 6 - 2.0 a match.
- The most recent meeting finished Tottenham Hotspur 1-3 Crystal Palace (March 5th 2026).
Head to head
In their last 4 meetings Tottenham Hotspur won 1, drew 0 and lost 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 – 3 | Crystal Palace |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Crystal Palace | 0 – 1 | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 11 May 2025 | Tottenham Hotspur | 0 – 2 | Crystal Palace |
| 27 Oct 2024 | Crystal Palace | 1 – 0 | Tottenham Hotspur |
Players to watch
Tottenham Hotspur
- Mateus Fernandes CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 72 · Ball circulator, Secure passer (top 5% of his position)
- Jan Paul van Hecke CB · Stopper · Moneyball Score 70 · Ball circulator, Duel winner (top 2% of his position)
Crystal Palace
- Chris Richards CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 61 · Blocks shots, Box defender (top 9% of his position)
- Dean Henderson GK · Shot-stopper · Moneyball Score 57 · Box defender, Shot-stopper (top 10% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Savinho
Savinho, 22 · Tottenham Hotspur · LWF · Classic winger · Moneyball Score 79
Savinho, 22, plays as a winger for Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League. Strongest for his role in successful dribbles and expected assists (est.). Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 79
- RW · Winger Natural, 79
- RM · Wide midfielder Natural, 77
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Successful dribbles | 4.89 / 90 | 99% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.42 / 90 | 96% |
| Big chances created | 0.82 / 90 | 94% |
| Key passes | 2.99 / 90 | 92% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.63 / 90 | 91% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Classic winger Winger
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★½ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Dribbler, Creator, Big-chance creator.
- What Savinho is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace prediction
Tottenham Hotspur should have more of the ball, with Crystal Palace likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Tottenham Hotspur like to take players on. Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals - 1.82 for Tottenham Hotspur and 1.09 for Crystal Palace - with over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 56%. Tottenham Hotspur have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 Crystal Palace
The full model, every line of this match, in the Match Centre
Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace betting tips
- Tip 1: Tottenham Hotspur to win 61% on the bookmakers' prices, with their margin taken out
- Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals 56% by the model, 2.92 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 56% by the model
- Tip 4: Over 3.5 cards the two sides average 5.0 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 10.1 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
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Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace: questions and answers
When is Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?
Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace is on Sunday 1 November 2026, in the Premier League.
Where is Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace played?
At Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, Tottenham Hotspur's home ground.
Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?
Tottenham Hotspur are the favourites: Tottenham Hotspur 61%, draw 22%, Crystal Palace 17%. Our prediction is Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 Crystal Palace.
Who is the player to watch in Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?
Savinho of Tottenham Hotspur: a classic winger with a Moneyball Score of 79 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.9 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.