Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg: Prediction, Odds and Preview
Bundesliga · Saturday 10 October 2026 · updated 2026-10-07
Union Berlin host SV Elversberg in the Bundesliga on Saturday 10 October 2026. The prices see little between them: Union Berlin 41%, the draw 26%, SV Elversberg 33% once the bookmaker's margin is taken out.
The odds
Decimal odds; the percentages are the chances the prices imply once the bookmaker's margin (10.3% on this market) is taken out. The main Asian handicap is Union Berlin -0.25 at 1.99, SV Elversberg at 1.89. The main goals line is 3: over 2.04, under 1.90, which gives over 48%.
Form in numbers
- SV Elversberg create more: 1.50 expected goals a match against 1.26 for Union Berlin.
- SV Elversberg give away less, 2.09 expected goals conceded a match.
- Shots a match: Union Berlin 11.8 (5.0 on target), SV Elversberg 10.3 (4.5 on target).
- Share of the pressure in their matches (Sportmonks Pressure Index): Union Berlin 38.2%, SV Elversberg 33.5%.
| Union Berlin | Per match | SV Elversberg |
|---|---|---|
| 1.26 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.50 |
| 2.48 | xG conceded | 2.09 |
| 1.00 | Goals | 2.00 |
| 11.8 | Shots | 10.3 |
| 5.0 | Shots on target | 4.5 |
| 1.3 | Big chances missed | 1.8 |
| 38.2 | Pressure share % | 33.5 |
| 17.8 | Tackles | 12.5 |
| 10.8 | Fouls | 11.5 |
| 2.5 | Yellow cards | 2.0 |
Season averages per match from Sportmonks, over 4 and 4 measured matches.
Moneyball's pick
The Dixon-Coles and xG model prices every line of this match: the win, draw and loss probabilities, fair odds and the expected value of each handicap and goals line. The full analysis of this match is part of Moneyball Premium.
Open Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg in the Match Centre Follow it live
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Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.