Venezia vs Bologna Prediction and Stats | Serie A Gameweek 13
Serie A · Friday 27 November 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venezia · updated 2026-11-14
Venezia welcome Bologna to Stadio Pierluigi Penzo in Venezia in Serie A Gameweek 13 action on Friday 27 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Venezia have played 11 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.9 goals a game and winning 18% of them. At home they average 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 100% win rate. Bologna have played 11 matches in Serie A this season, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.3 goals a game and winning 45% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 80% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Bologna are narrow favourites at 48%, with the draw at 26% and Venezia at 26%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Venezia 1.14, Bologna 1.63.
- Over 2.5 goals: 52% · both teams to score: 55%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (11 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Venezia: form and key numbers
- Expected goals: 1.43 a match created, 1.87 conceded (goals minus xG: -7.8).
- Shots: 13.7 a match, 4.0 on target.
- Possession: 49.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 9% of matches (100% at home).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.9 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.75.
Bologna: form and key numbers
In style Bologna cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.63 a match created, 1.23 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.0).
- Shots: 13.6 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 49.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 9% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 64% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.0 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.80.
Venezia vs Bologna: season averages side by side
| Venezia | Per match this season | Bologna |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matches | 11 |
| 0.7 | Goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.9 | Goals conceded | 1.3 |
| 1.43 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.63 |
| 1.87 | xG conceded | 1.23 |
| 13.7 | Shots | 13.6 |
| 4.0 | On target | 4.5 |
| 49.9 | Possession % | 49.5 |
| 9% | Clean sheets % | 9% |
| 36% | Both teams scored % | 64% |
| 3.9 | Corners | 5.0 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 2.1 |
| 6.75 | Average rating | 6.80 |
Players to watch
Venezia
- Filip Stanković GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 66 · Shot-stopper, Box defender (top 12% of his position)
- Kike Pérez CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 59 · Chance creator, Long passer (top 7% of his position)
Bologna
- Federico Bernardeschi RWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 69 · High shot volume, Gets into scoring positions (top 12% of his position)
- Lewis Ferguson CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 65 · Secure passer, Ball circulator (top 5% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: John Yeboah
John Yeboah, 26 · Venezia · SS · Shadow striker · Moneyball Score 75
John Yeboah, 26, plays as a second striker for Venezia in Serie A. Strongest for his role in expected goals and shots. Weakest in assists, luck taken out. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every second striker in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average second striker, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- SS · Second striker Natural, 75
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 60
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.42 / 90 | 97% |
| Shots | 3.41 / 90 | 91% |
| Successful dribbles | 1.88 / 90 | 91% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.35 / 90 | 79% |
| Fouls won | 1.29 / 90 | 68% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★★ Inside forward Winger
Scout's notes: Gets into scoring positions, High shot volume, Dribbler.
- What John Yeboah is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open John Yeboah's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Venezia vs Bologna prediction
Venezia should have more of the ball; Bologna work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals - 1.14 for Venezia and 1.63 for Bologna - with over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 55%. Bologna have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Venezia 1-2 Bologna
Venezia vs Bologna: what the numbers say
- 1. Bologna unbeaten (win or draw) 74% between them
- 2. 2 or more goals 2.76 goals expected; 2.5 is close to a coin toss (52%)
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 55% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.2 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 8.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Serie A previews
- Lazio vs Lecce Saturday 21 November 2026
- Como vs Cagliari Saturday 21 November 2026
- Parma vs Roma Saturday 21 November 2026
- Napoli vs Torino Saturday 21 November 2026
- Juventus vs Venezia Sunday 22 November 2026
- Sassuolo vs Genoa Sunday 22 November 2026
- Bologna vs Udinese Sunday 22 November 2026
- AC Milan vs Frosinone Sunday 22 November 2026
Venezia vs Bologna: questions and answers
When is Venezia vs Bologna?
Venezia vs Bologna is on Friday 27 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC, in Serie A Gameweek 13.
Where is Venezia vs Bologna played?
At Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venezia, Venezia's home ground.
Who will win Venezia vs Bologna?
Bologna are the favourites: Venezia 26%, draw 26%, Bologna 48%. Our prediction is Venezia 1-2 Bologna.
Who is the player to watch in Venezia vs Bologna?
John Yeboah of Venezia: a shadow striker with a Moneyball Score of 75 against every second striker in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Venezia vs Bologna?
Moneyball's model expects about 2.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.