Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi Prediction and Betting Tips | Belgian Pro League Gameweek 11
Belgian Pro League · Saturday 7 November 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Het Kuipje, Westerlo · updated 2026-10-25
Westerlo welcome Sporting Charleroi to Het Kuipje in Westerlo in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 11 action on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Westerlo have played 9 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 2.7 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 44% of them. At home they average 3.2 goals scored and 2.8 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate. Sporting Charleroi have played 9 matches in Belgian Pro League this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.1 goals a game and winning 78% of them. Away from home they average 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded over 5 matches, with a 57% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Sporting Charleroi are narrow favourites at 44%, with the draw at 22% and Westerlo at 34%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Westerlo 1.76, Sporting Charleroi 2.01.
- Over 2.5 goals: 73% · both teams to score: 72%.
- Most likely score: 1–3 (6%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (9 and 9 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model. No bookmaker prices are in it; once the odds are out, the full model in the app reads them too.
Westerlo: form and key numbers
In style Westerlo take players on, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 1.76 a match created, 1.76 conceded (goals minus xG: +8.2).
- Shots: 14.7 a match, 5.7 on target.
- Possession: 50.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 22% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.80.
Sporting Charleroi: form and key numbers
In style Sporting Charleroi keep the ball, press high, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 2.09 a match created, 1.07 conceded (goals minus xG: -2.8).
- Shots: 17.0 a match, 5.8 on target.
- Possession: 56.8% on average.
- Clean sheets: 44% of matches (75% away).
- Both teams scored in 44% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.99.
Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi: season averages side by side
| Westerlo | Per match this season | Sporting Charleroi |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Matches | 9 |
| 2.7 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 2.3 | Goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 1.76 | Expected goals (xG) | 2.09 |
| 1.76 | xG conceded | 1.07 |
| 14.7 | Shots | 17.0 |
| 5.7 | On target | 5.8 |
| 50.8 | Possession % | 56.8 |
| 22% | Clean sheets % | 44% |
| 67% | Both teams scored % | 44% |
| 3.4 | Corners | 5.6 |
| 1.2 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
| 6.80 | Average rating | 6.99 |
Players to watch
Westerlo
- Shunsuke Saito LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 59 · Big-chance creator, Crosser (top 22% of his position)
- Ibrahim Fofana DMF · Ball-winner · Moneyball Score 53 · Ball-winner, Reads the game (top 10% of his position)
Sporting Charleroi
- Aurélien Scheidler CF · Target man · Moneyball Score 63 · Dominant in the air, Takes high-quality shots (top 5% of his position)
- Patrick Pflücke RMF · Wide playmaker · Moneyball Score 54 · Crosser, Chance creator (top 7% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Cameron Congreve
Cameron Congreve, 22 · Westerlo · WMF · Wide playmaker · Moneyball Score 71
Cameron Congreve, 22, plays as a wide midfielder for Westerlo in the Belgian Pro League. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and accurate crosses. Weakest in interceptions. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every wide midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average wide midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 71
- RM · Wide midfielder Natural, 71
- RW · Winger Natural, 68
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.48 / 90 | 100% |
| Accurate crosses | 2.01 / 90 | 93% |
| Key passes | 3.48 / 90 | 93% |
| Successful dribbles | 2.01 / 90 | 71% |
| Expected goals | 0.22 / 90 | 64% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★★½ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★★ Attacking wing-back Wing-back
Scout's notes: Creator, Crosser, Chance creator.
- What Cameron Congreve is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Cameron Congreve's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi prediction
Sporting Charleroi should have more of the ball; Westerlo like to take players on; Sporting Charleroi are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals - 1.76 for Westerlo and 2.01 for Sporting Charleroi - with over 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring at 72%. Sporting Charleroi have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Westerlo 1-3 Sporting Charleroi
Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi betting tips
- Tip 1: Sporting Charleroi win or draw (double chance) 66% between them
- Tip 2: Over 3.5 goals 52% by the model, 3.77 goals expected
- Tip 3: Both teams to score: yes 72% by the model
- Tip 4: Under 4.5 cards the two sides average 3.5 cards a match between them
- Tip 5: Over 8.5 corners 9.0 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties. 18+ only, where betting is legal; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
The full analysis
Moneyball Odds prices every line of the match once bookmakers do: win, draw and loss, Asian handicaps and goals lines, with fair odds and the expected value of each.
More Belgian Pro League previews
- Club Brugge vs Sint-Truiden Sunday 25 October 2026
- Gent vs Anderlecht Sunday 25 October 2026
- Union Saint-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge Sunday 25 October 2026
- Zulte-Waregem vs Club Brugge Friday 30 October 2026
- Mechelen vs Genk Saturday 31 October 2026
- Standard Liège vs KV Kortrijk Saturday 31 October 2026
- SK Beveren vs Union Saint-Gilloise Saturday 31 October 2026
- Anderlecht vs Westerlo Saturday 31 October 2026
Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi: questions and answers
When is Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi?
Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi is on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC, in Belgian Pro League Gameweek 11.
Where is Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi played?
At Het Kuipje, Westerlo, Westerlo's home ground.
Who will win Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi?
Sporting Charleroi are the favourites: Westerlo 34%, draw 22%, Sporting Charleroi 44%. Our prediction is Westerlo 1-3 Sporting Charleroi.
Who is the player to watch in Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi?
Cameron Congreve of Westerlo: a wide playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 71 against every wide midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 73%.
Tags
Moneyball Odds is a statistical analysis site, not a bookmaker. No model predicts football reliably. For readers aged 18 and over, where betting is legal.