ADO Den Haag vs FC Utrecht Prediction and Stats | Eredivisie Gameweek 14
Eredivisie · Sunday 29 November 2026 · 11:15 UTC · WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag · updated 2026-11-15
ADO Den Haag welcome FC Utrecht to WerkTalent Stadion in Den Haag in Eredivisie Gameweek 14 action on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 11:15 UTC.
ADO Den Haag have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.1 goals a game and winning 17% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 100% win rate. FC Utrecht have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.8 goals a game and winning 25% of them. Away from home they average 1.7 goals scored and 2.7 conceded over 6 matches, with a 67% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: ADO Den Haag 42%, the draw 24%, FC Utrecht 35%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: ADO Den Haag 1.76, FC Utrecht 1.59.
- Over 2.5 goals: 65% · both teams to score: 67%.
- Most likely score: 2–1 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
ADO Den Haag: form and key numbers
In style ADO Den Haag play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.09 a match created, 1.98 conceded (goals minus xG: +2.9).
- Shots: 12.4 a match, 3.9 on target.
- Possession: 49.7% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.9 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.72.
FC Utrecht: form and key numbers
In style FC Utrecht play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.48 a match created, 1.84 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.2).
- Shots: 14.1 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 48.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 92% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.71.
ADO Den Haag vs FC Utrecht: season averages side by side
| ADO Den Haag | Per match this season | FC Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.3 | Goals scored | 1.8 |
| 2.1 | Goals conceded | 2.8 |
| 1.09 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.48 |
| 1.98 | xG conceded | 1.84 |
| 12.4 | Shots | 14.1 |
| 3.9 | On target | 4.5 |
| 49.7 | Possession % | 48.0 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 75% | Both teams scored % | 92% |
| 3.9 | Corners | 4.4 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 2.2 |
| 6.72 | Average rating | 6.71 |
Players to watch
ADO Den Haag
- Kilian Nikièma GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 40 · Long passer, Secure passer (top 15% of his position)
- Juho Kilo CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 38 · Long passer, Press-resistant (top 7% of his position)
FC Utrecht
- Sergio Padt GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 40 · Long passer, Secure passer (top 34% of his position)
- Artem Stepanov CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 39 · Takes high-quality shots, Rarely wastes a big chance (top 1% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Yoann Cathline
Yoann Cathline, 24 · FC Utrecht · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 41
Yoann Cathline, 24, plays as a winger for FC Utrecht in the Eredivisie. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and big chances created. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 41
- RW · Winger Competent, 23
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 1.98 / 90 | 92% |
| Big chances created | 0.66 / 90 | 78% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.30 / 90 | 63% |
| Expected goals | 0.35 / 90 | 61% |
| Fouls won | 2.31 / 90 | 58% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★½ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★★ Creative winger Winger
Scout's notes: Crosser.
- What Yoann Cathline is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Yoann Cathline's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
ADO Den Haag vs FC Utrecht prediction
ADO Den Haag should have more of the ball; ADO Den Haag go long and direct; FC Utrecht are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals - 1.76 for ADO Den Haag and 1.59 for FC Utrecht - with over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 67%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: ADO Den Haag 1-1 FC Utrecht
ADO Den Haag vs FC Utrecht: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 42%
- 2. 3 or more goals 65% by the model, 3.36 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 67% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.9 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 corners or fewer 8.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Eredivisie previews
- NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Saturday 21 November 2026
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- FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur Saturday 21 November 2026
- Telstar vs PEC Zwolle Saturday 21 November 2026
- FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen Saturday 21 November 2026
- FC Twente vs Willem II Sunday 22 November 2026
- Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar Sunday 22 November 2026
- Ajax vs ADO Den Haag Sunday 22 November 2026
ADO Den Haag vs FC Utrecht: questions and answers
When is ADO Den Haag vs FC Utrecht?
ADO Den Haag vs FC Utrecht is on Sunday 29 November 2026, kick-off 11:15 UTC, in Eredivisie Gameweek 14.
Where is ADO Den Haag vs FC Utrecht played?
At WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag, ADO Den Haag's home ground.
Who will win ADO Den Haag vs FC Utrecht?
It is close: ADO Den Haag 42%, draw 24%, FC Utrecht 35%. Our prediction is ADO Den Haag 1-1 FC Utrecht.
Who is the player to watch in ADO Den Haag vs FC Utrecht?
Yoann Cathline of FC Utrecht: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 41 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in ADO Den Haag vs FC Utrecht?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.4 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.