FC Twente vs Willem II Prediction and Stats | Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Eredivisie · Sunday 22 November 2026 · 11:15 UTC · De Grolsch Veste, Enschede · updated 2026-11-13
FC Twente welcome Willem II to De Grolsch Veste in Enschede in Eredivisie Gameweek 13 action on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 11:15 UTC.
FC Twente have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 2.5 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 58% of them. At home they average 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 57% win rate. Willem II have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 0.9 and conceding 3.3 goals a game and winning 0% of them. Away from home they average 1.0 goals scored and 3.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, FC Twente are clear favourites at 87%, with the draw at 9% and Willem II at 4%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: FC Twente 3.43, Willem II 0.71.
- Over 2.5 goals: 78% · both teams to score: 49%.
- Most likely score: 4–0 (9%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
FC Twente: form and key numbers
In style FC Twente keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 2.61 a match created, 0.78 conceded (goals minus xG: -1.3).
- Shots: 20.8 a match, 7.3 on target.
- Possession: 59.2% on average.
- Clean sheets: 33% of matches (50% at home).
- Both teams scored in 58% of their matches.
- Corners: 7.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.1 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.05.
Willem II: form and key numbers
In style Willem II are happy without the ball, play long and direct, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 1.29 a match created, 2.11 conceded (goals minus xG: -4.5).
- Shots: 11.1 a match, 2.8 on target.
- Possession: 40.6% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% away).
- Both teams scored in 75% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.3 a match.
- Discipline: 1.4 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.55.
FC Twente vs Willem II: season averages side by side
| FC Twente | Per match this season | Willem II |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 2.5 | Goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 3.3 |
| 2.61 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.29 |
| 0.78 | xG conceded | 2.11 |
| 20.8 | Shots | 11.1 |
| 7.3 | On target | 2.8 |
| 59.2 | Possession % | 40.6 |
| 33% | Clean sheets % | 0% |
| 58% | Both teams scored % | 75% |
| 7.3 | Corners | 4.3 |
| 1.1 | Yellow cards | 1.4 |
| 7.05 | Average rating | 6.55 |
Players to watch
FC Twente
- Sondre Ørjasæter LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 44 · Gets into scoring positions, Press-resistant (top 13% of his position)
- Thomas van den Belt CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 37 · Gets into scoring positions, Creator (top 7% of his position)
Willem II
- Nathan Tjoe-A-On LWB · Complete wing-back · Moneyball Score 32 · Reads the game, Crosser (top 12% of his position)
- Finn Stam CB · Box defender · Moneyball Score 26 · Blocks shots, Box defender (top 39% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Wout Weghorst
Wout Weghorst, 34 · FC Twente · CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 59
Wout Weghorst, 34, plays as a centre-forward for FC Twente in the Eredivisie. Strongest for his role in shot quality (xG per shot) and expected goals. Weakest in duels won. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average centre-forward, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- ST · Centre-forward Natural, 59
- SS · Second striker Accomplished, 51
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Shot quality (xG per shot) | 0.22 xG/shot | 97% |
| Expected goals | 0.73 / 90 | 86% |
| Shots on target | 55% | 85% |
| Goals, luck taken out | 0.75 / 90 | 84% |
| Shots | 3.37 / 90 | 54% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★★½ Shadow striker Second striker
- ★★★★ Poacher Centre-forward
- ★★★ Complete forward Centre-forward
Scout's notes: Takes high-quality shots, Gets into scoring positions, Accurate shooter.
- What Wout Weghorst is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Wout Weghorst's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
FC Twente vs Willem II prediction
FC Twente should have more of the ball, with Willem II likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; FC Twente work the ball wide and cross; Willem II are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 4.1 goals - 3.43 for FC Twente and 0.71 for Willem II - with over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams scoring at 49%. FC Twente have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: FC Twente 4-0 Willem II
FC Twente vs Willem II: what the numbers say
- 1. FC Twente win, the likeliest result 87% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 4 or more goals 59% by the model, 4.14 goals expected
- 3. 4 cards or fewer the two sides average 3.5 cards a match between them
- 4. 10 or more corners 11.5 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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FC Twente vs Willem II: questions and answers
When is FC Twente vs Willem II?
FC Twente vs Willem II is on Sunday 22 November 2026, kick-off 11:15 UTC, in Eredivisie Gameweek 13.
Where is FC Twente vs Willem II played?
At De Grolsch Veste, Enschede, FC Twente's home ground.
Who will win FC Twente vs Willem II?
FC Twente are the favourites: FC Twente 87%, draw 9%, Willem II 4%. Our prediction is FC Twente 4-0 Willem II.
Who is the player to watch in FC Twente vs Willem II?
Wout Weghorst of FC Twente: a poacher with a Moneyball Score of 59 against every centre-forward in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in FC Twente vs Willem II?
Moneyball's model expects about 4.1 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 78%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.