FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur Prediction and Stats | Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Eredivisie · Saturday 21 November 2026 · 17:45 UTC · Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht · updated 2026-11-13
FC Utrecht welcome SC Cambuur to Stadion Galgenwaard in Utrecht in Eredivisie Gameweek 13 action on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC.
FC Utrecht have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.8 goals a game and winning 25% of them. At home they average 1.8 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over 6 matches, with a 33% win rate. SC Cambuur have played 12 matches in Eredivisie this season, scoring 2.1 and conceding 2.3 goals a game and winning 33% of them. Away from home they average 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, there is little to separate them: FC Utrecht 39%, the draw 22%, SC Cambuur 38%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: FC Utrecht 1.89, SC Cambuur 1.87.
- Over 2.5 goals: 72% · both teams to score: 72%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (5%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
FC Utrecht: form and key numbers
In style FC Utrecht are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.46 a match created, 1.84 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.5).
- Shots: 14.1 a match, 4.5 on target.
- Possession: 48.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 0% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 92% of their matches.
- Corners: 4.4 a match.
- Discipline: 2.1 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.71.
SC Cambuur: form and key numbers
In style SC Cambuur are happy without the ball, play long and direct, are strong in the air.
- Expected goals: 1.39 a match created, 1.72 conceded (goals minus xG: +8.4).
- Shots: 12.5 a match, 5.0 on target.
- Possession: 46.0% on average.
- Clean sheets: 25% of matches (33% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.8 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match, 1.0 reds.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.78.
FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur: season averages side by side
| FC Utrecht | Per match this season | SC Cambuur |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 1.8 | Goals scored | 2.1 |
| 2.8 | Goals conceded | 2.3 |
| 1.46 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.39 |
| 1.84 | xG conceded | 1.72 |
| 14.1 | Shots | 12.5 |
| 4.5 | On target | 5.0 |
| 48.0 | Possession % | 46.0 |
| 0% | Clean sheets % | 25% |
| 92% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 4.4 | Corners | 3.8 |
| 2.1 | Yellow cards | 1.8 |
| 6.71 | Average rating | 6.78 |
Players to watch
FC Utrecht
- Artem Stepanov CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 33 · Takes high-quality shots, Rarely wastes a big chance (top 1% of his position)
- Sergio Padt GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 33 · Long passer, Secure passer (top 32% of his position)
SC Cambuur
- Ilyes Hamache LWF · Inside forward · Moneyball Score 32 · Dribbler, Press-resistant (top 25% of his position)
- Lucas Jetten LB · Attacking full-back · Moneyball Score 30 · Secure passer, Creator (top 31% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Yoann Cathline
Yoann Cathline, 24 · FC Utrecht · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 43
Yoann Cathline, 24, plays as a winger for FC Utrecht in the Eredivisie. Strongest for his role in accurate crosses and big chances created. Weakest in dispossessed. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 43
- RW · Winger Competent, 25
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Accurate crosses | 1.98 / 90 | 92% |
| Big chances created | 0.77 / 90 | 87% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.33 / 90 | 70% |
| Expected goals | 0.35 / 90 | 60% |
| Fouls won | 2.31 / 90 | 58% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★ Creative winger Winger
- ★★★ Wide playmaker Wide midfielder
- ★★½ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
Scout's notes: Crosser, Big-chance creator.
- What Yoann Cathline is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Yoann Cathline's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur prediction
FC Utrecht should have more of the ball; both sides are a threat in the air and from set pieces. Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals - 1.89 for FC Utrecht and 1.87 for SC Cambuur - with over 2.5 goals at 72% and both teams scoring at 72%. Little separates the sides on the numbers, and a draw is the single likeliest result.
Prediction: FC Utrecht 2-2 SC Cambuur
FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur: what the numbers say
- 1. A draw or either side by one goal is the likeliest shape no side above 39%
- 2. 4 or more goals 52% by the model, 3.76 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 72% by the model
- 4. 4 or more cards the two sides average 4.8 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 corners or fewer 8.3 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur: questions and answers
When is FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur?
FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur is on Saturday 21 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UTC, in Eredivisie Gameweek 13.
Where is FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur played?
At Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht, FC Utrecht's home ground.
Who will win FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur?
It is close: FC Utrecht 39%, draw 22%, SC Cambuur 38%. Our prediction is FC Utrecht 2-2 SC Cambuur.
Who is the player to watch in FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur?
Yoann Cathline of FC Utrecht: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 43 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in FC Utrecht vs SC Cambuur?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 72%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.