Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal Prediction and Stats | Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13
Saudi Pro League · Saturday 28 November 2026 · 14:20 UTC · Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium (Ad Dammām (Dammam)), Dammam · updated 2026-11-14
Al Ettifaq welcome Al Hilal to Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium (Ad Dammām (Dammam)) in Dammam in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13 action on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 14:20 UTC.
Al Ettifaq have played 12 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.4 goals a game and winning 42% of them. At home they average 1.3 goals scored and 2.2 conceded over 6 matches, with a 20% win rate. Al Hilal have played 11 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 2.9 and conceding 0.8 goals a game and winning 91% of them. Away from home they average 3.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded over 5 matches, with a 50% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Al Hilal are clear favourites at 64%, with the draw at 20% and Al Ettifaq at 16%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Al Ettifaq 1.11, Al Hilal 2.34.
- Over 2.5 goals: 67% · both teams to score: 61%.
- Most likely score: 1–2 (10%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 11 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Al Ettifaq: form and key numbers
In style Al Ettifaq keep the ball, press high.
- Expected goals: 1.36 a match created, 1.53 conceded (goals minus xG: +1.7).
- Shots: 13.6 a match, 5.3 on target.
- Possession: 54.3% on average.
- Clean sheets: 42% of matches (20% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 5.6 a match.
- Discipline: 2.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Al Hilal: form and key numbers
In style Al Hilal keep the ball, press high, cross a lot.
- Expected goals: 3.20 a match created, 0.96 conceded (goals minus xG: -3.2).
- Shots: 19.9 a match, 6.9 on target.
- Possession: 56.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 55% of matches (50% away).
- Both teams scored in 36% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.6 a match.
- Discipline: 1.2 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.09.
Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal: season averages side by side
| Al Ettifaq | Per match this season | Al Hilal |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 11 |
| 1.5 | Goals scored | 2.9 |
| 1.4 | Goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 1.36 | Expected goals (xG) | 3.20 |
| 1.53 | xG conceded | 0.96 |
| 13.6 | Shots | 19.9 |
| 5.3 | On target | 6.9 |
| 54.3 | Possession % | 56.9 |
| 42% | Clean sheets % | 55% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 36% |
| 5.6 | Corners | 6.6 |
| 2.3 | Yellow cards | 1.2 |
| 6.79 | Average rating | 7.09 |
Players to watch
Al Ettifaq
- Turki Ba Al-Jawsh GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 22 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 19% of his position)
- Álvaro Medrán CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 18 · Creator, Chance creator (top 27% of his position)
Al Hilal
- Yassine Bounou GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 22 · Secure passer, Dominant in the air (top 3% of his position)
- Ollie Watkins CF · Poacher · Moneyball Score 22 · Takes high-quality shots, Accurate shooter (top 6% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Crysencio Summerville
Crysencio Summerville, 25 · Al Hilal · LWF · Creative winger · Moneyball Score 24
Crysencio Summerville, 25, plays as a winger for Al Hilal in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in expected goals and big chances created. Weakest in key passes. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every winger in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average winger, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- LW · Winger Natural, 24
- LM · Wide midfielder Natural, 23
- RW · Winger Accomplished, 21
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected goals | 0.49 / 90 | 68% |
| Big chances created | 0.65 / 90 | 64% |
| Accurate crosses | 1.20 / 90 | 52% |
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.33 / 90 | 45% |
| Dispossessed | 0.83 / 90 | 28% |
Roles he suits
- ★★½ Dribbling forward Second striker
- ★★½ Direct wide midfielder Wide midfielder
- ★★ Creative winger Winger
- What Crysencio Summerville is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Crysencio Summerville's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal prediction
Al Hilal should have more of the ball; Al Ettifaq press high to win the ball back; Al Hilal work the ball wide and cross. Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals - 1.11 for Al Ettifaq and 2.34 for Al Hilal - with over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams scoring at 61%. Al Hilal have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to take something from the trip.
Prediction: Al Ettifaq 1-2 Al Hilal
Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal: what the numbers say
- 1. Al Hilal win, the likeliest result 64% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 3 or more goals 67% by the model, 3.45 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 61% by the model
- 4. 4 cards or fewer the two sides average 3.5 cards a match between them
- 5. 10 or more corners 12.2 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
More Saudi Pro League previews
- Al Ahli vs Al Nassr Friday 20 November 2026
- Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh Thursday 26 November 2026
- Abha vs Al Shabab Thursday 26 November 2026
- Al Faisaly vs Al Diraiyah FC Thursday 26 November 2026
- Al Kholood vs Al Khaleej Friday 27 November 2026
- Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Fayha Friday 27 November 2026
- Al Ittihad vs NEOM SC Friday 27 November 2026
- Al Hazm vs Al Nassr Saturday 28 November 2026
Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal: questions and answers
When is Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal?
Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal is on Saturday 28 November 2026, kick-off 14:20 UTC, in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13.
Where is Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal played?
At Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium (Ad Dammām (Dammam)), Dammam, Al Ettifaq's home ground.
Who will win Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal?
Al Hilal are the favourites: Al Ettifaq 16%, draw 20%, Al Hilal 64%. Our prediction is Al Ettifaq 1-2 Al Hilal.
Who is the player to watch in Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal?
Crysencio Summerville of Al Hilal: a creative winger with a Moneyball Score of 24 against every winger in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Al Ettifaq vs Al Hilal?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.5 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.