Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Fayha Prediction and Stats | Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13
Saudi Pro League · Friday 27 November 2026 · 14:20 UTC · Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium (Ad Dammām (Dammam)), Dammam · updated 2026-11-14
Al-Qadsiah welcome Al-Fayha to Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium (Ad Dammām (Dammam)) in Dammam in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13 action on Friday 27 November 2026, kick-off 14:20 UTC.
Al-Qadsiah have played 12 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.0 goals a game and winning 75% of them. At home they average 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over 6 matches, with a 33% win rate. Al-Fayha have played 12 matches in Saudi Pro League this season, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 goals a game and winning 17% of them. Away from home they average 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded over 6 matches, with a 0% win rate.
On Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers, Al-Qadsiah are clear favourites at 78%, with the draw at 14% and Al-Fayha at 8%.
Moneyball's estimate
- Expected goals: Al-Qadsiah 2.93, Al-Fayha 0.92.
- Over 2.5 goals: 74% · both teams to score: 57%.
- Most likely score: 3–1 (8%).
From each side's goals and expected goals this season (Sportmonks), pulled toward the league average while a side has played few matches (12 and 12 so far), through a Dixon-Coles score model.
Al-Qadsiah: form and key numbers
In style Al-Qadsiah keep the ball, press high, create plenty of chances.
- Expected goals: 2.34 a match created, 1.27 conceded (goals minus xG: +3.9).
- Shots: 15.8 a match, 6.9 on target.
- Possession: 58.5% on average.
- Clean sheets: 42% of matches (0% at home).
- Both teams scored in 50% of their matches.
- Corners: 6.5 a match.
- Discipline: 1.8 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 7.03.
Al-Fayha: form and key numbers
In style Al-Fayha are happy without the ball, play long and direct.
- Expected goals: 1.00 a match created, 2.11 conceded (goals minus xG: +4.0).
- Shots: 11.4 a match, 3.8 on target.
- Possession: 45.9% on average.
- Clean sheets: 17% of matches (100% away).
- Both teams scored in 67% of their matches.
- Corners: 3.4 a match.
- Discipline: 1.3 yellow cards a match.
- Average Sportmonks player rating: 6.79.
Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Fayha: season averages side by side
| Al-Qadsiah | Per match this season | Al-Fayha |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Matches | 12 |
| 2.7 | Goals scored | 1.3 |
| 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.7 |
| 2.34 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.00 |
| 1.27 | xG conceded | 2.11 |
| 15.8 | Shots | 11.4 |
| 6.9 | On target | 3.8 |
| 58.5 | Possession % | 45.9 |
| 42% | Clean sheets % | 17% |
| 50% | Both teams scored % | 67% |
| 6.5 | Corners | 3.4 |
| 1.8 | Yellow cards | 1.3 |
| 7.03 | Average rating | 6.79 |
Players to watch
Al-Qadsiah
- Koen Casteels GK · Ball-playing keeper · Moneyball Score 24 · Secure passer, Box defender (top 7% of his position)
- Tijjani Reijnders CMF · Box-to-box midfielder · Moneyball Score 20 · Gets into scoring positions, Secure passer (top 11% of his position)
Al-Fayha
- Orlando Mosquera GK · Sweeper keeper · Moneyball Score 29 · Box defender, Secure passer (top 34% of his position)
- Fashion Sakala SS · Dribbling forward · Moneyball Score 16 · Dribbler, Creator (top 15% of his position)
Scouting spotlight: Musab Al-Juwayr
Musab Al-Juwayr, 23 · Al-Qadsiah · CMF · Playmaker · Moneyball Score 22
Musab Al-Juwayr, 23, plays as a central midfielder for Al-Qadsiah in the Saudi Pro League. Strongest for his role in expected assists (est.) and key passes. Weakest in interceptions. Moneyball Scout, the engine behind our Scouting Players Research, rates him against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues - and this is what he does better than almost all of them.
Percentile against his position on each figure: 50 is the average central midfielder, 90 the top tenth.
Positions he can play
- CM · Central midfielder Natural, 22
- CAM · Attacking midfielder Accomplished, 16
Where he is strongest
| Figure | His number | Better than |
|---|---|---|
| Expected assists (est.) | 0.39 / 90 | 87% |
| Key passes | 3.04 / 90 | 80% |
| Expected goals | 0.26 / 90 | 69% |
| Long balls | 4.02 / 90 | 67% |
| Successful dribbles | 0.78 / 90 | 25% |
Roles he suits
- ★★★ Playmaker Central midfielder
- ★½ Box-to-box midfielder Central midfielder
- ½ Creator Attacking midfielder
Scout's notes: Creator, Chance creator.
- What Musab Al-Juwayr is worth on the market, and the most a club should pay
- How many league points he would add to your club (Win-Rate Impact)
- The players who play like him, cheaper - the Replacement Finder
- His chemistry with your squad, his fit with your style, his projection by age
Open Musab Al-Juwayr's full file Moneyball Scout from $39 a month
Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Fayha prediction
Al-Qadsiah should have more of the ball, with Al-Fayha likely to sit in a compact block and look to break; Al-Qadsiah press high to win the ball back; Al-Fayha go long and direct. Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals - 2.93 for Al-Qadsiah and 0.92 for Al-Fayha - with over 2.5 goals at 74% and both teams scoring at 57%. Al-Qadsiah have the stronger numbers, and we expect them to make home advantage count.
Prediction: Al-Qadsiah 3-1 Al-Fayha
Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Fayha: what the numbers say
- 1. Al-Qadsiah win, the likeliest result 78% on Moneyball's model, from this season's numbers
- 2. 4 or more goals 54% by the model, 3.85 goals expected
- 3. Both teams to score: yes 57% by the model
- 4. 4 cards or fewer the two sides average 3.0 cards a match between them
- 5. 9 or more corners 9.9 corners a match between them
Statistical leanings from the data, not certainties.
The full analysis
Moneyball reads every match in full: win, draw and loss, the most likely scores, goals and both teams to score, with the players who decide it.
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Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Fayha: questions and answers
When is Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Fayha?
Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Fayha is on Friday 27 November 2026, kick-off 14:20 UTC, in Saudi Pro League Gameweek 13.
Where is Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Fayha played?
At Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium (Ad Dammām (Dammam)), Dammam, Al-Qadsiah's home ground.
Who will win Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Fayha?
Al-Qadsiah are the favourites: Al-Qadsiah 78%, draw 14%, Al-Fayha 8%. Our prediction is Al-Qadsiah 3-1 Al-Fayha.
Who is the player to watch in Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Fayha?
Musab Al-Juwayr of Al-Qadsiah: a playmaker with a Moneyball Score of 22 against every central midfielder in Europe's top five leagues.
How many goals will there be in Al-Qadsiah vs Al-Fayha?
Moneyball's model expects about 3.8 goals, with over 2.5 goals at 74%.
Tags
Moneyball is a football statistics site. No model predicts football reliably: every figure is an estimate.